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LaLiga2
Referee: A Moreno
Granada
T S T T T
1–2
Full-time
Sp Gijon
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 41/41 matches
Win Ø 35%
29%
41%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
41%
54%
Both score Ø 55%
51%
59%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,14 xG 0,38
59% Possession 41%
10 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
3 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Granada 14. · Sp Gijon 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 41 24 7 10 +26 -1.2 79
2 La Coruna 41 22 11 8 +22 +2.1 77
3 Almeria 41 21 8 12 +17 +2.0 71
4 Malaga 41 20 10 11 +21 +6.2 70
5 Las Palmas 41 19 13 9 +16 +0.7 70
6 Castellon 41 19 12 10 +18 +6.9 69
7 Burgos 41 19 12 10 +14 +5.3 69
8 Eibar 41 19 10 12 +13 +7.1 67
9 Ceuta 42 17 10 15 -12 -15.2 61
10 Cordoba 41 17 9 15 -4 +6.7 60
11 Albacete 42 16 11 15 +1 +1.9 59
12 Andorra 41 16 10 15 +9 +2.9 58
13 Sp Gijon 41 17 7 17 +5 +1.9 58
14 Granada 41 12 12 17 -5 -1.9 48
15 Sociedad B 42 12 11 19 -9 -8.3 47
16 Valladolid 41 12 10 19 -12 +2.2 46
17 Leganes 41 10 13 18 -9 +3.1 43
18 Cadiz 41 11 10 20 -17 -6.7 43
19 Mirandes 41 10 10 21 -21 -5.7 40
20 Huesca 41 9 10 22 -22 -0.2 37
21 Cultural Leonesa 42 9 10 23 -29 -12.7 37
22 Zaragoza 41 8 12 21 -22 +2.9 36

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Granada Sp Gijon
1–0 J. M. Arnaiz
J. Pascual
2′
27′
🟨 Kevin Vázquez
Rubén Alcaraz 🟨
34′
45′
D. Hormigo 2–0
own goal
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 G. Campos
↦ C. Gelabert Pina
B. Diocou 🔁
↦ P. Saenz
60′
S. Ruiz 🔁
↦ M. Trigueros
61′
68′
🟨 Justin Smith
73′
🔁 P. Garcia
↦ J. Otero
73′
🔁 B. Olivan
↦ K. Vazquez
73′
🔁 E. Curbelo
↦ L. Perrin
73′
🔁 J. Bernal
↦ M. Rodriguez
B. Diallo 🔁
↦ M. Lama
81′
M. Gambin 🔁
↦ I. Gonzalez
81′
S. Rodelas 🔁
↦ J. M. Arnaiz
85′
90′
B. Olivan 2–1
J. Dubasin
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Granada

4-1-4-1
13 A. Astralaga G
2 P. Casadesus D
36 Juanjo D
5 M. Lama D
3 D. Hormigo D
4 R. Alcaraz M
21 P. Saenz M
41 I. Gonzalez M
14 M. Trigueros M
11 J. M. Arnaiz M
19 J. Pascual F
Bench (12)
34 I. Garcia
20 S. Ruiz
22 B. Diallo
9 G. Petit
28 O. Naasei
40 B. Diocou
26 S. Rodelas
27 M. Gambin
39 B. Dembele
42 P. Jimenez
43 O. M. Chukwuemeka
32 D. Rodriguez

Coach: Pacheta

Sp Gijon

4-3-3
1 R. Yanez G
20 K. Vazquez D
15 P. Vazquez D
4 L. Perrin D
44 A. Cuenca D
36 M. Rodriguez M
24 J. Smith M
14 A. Corredera M
10 C. Gelabert Pina F
19 J. Otero F
17 J. Dubasin F
Bench (9)
13 C. Joel
30 I. Venteo
3 P. Garcia
18 A. Coundoul
12 B. Olivan
23 E. Curbelo
8 J. Bernal
7 G. Campos
11 D. Queipo

Coach: Borja Jimenez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,34
U
3,24
B ✓
2,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,86
U2,5
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Moreno · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.