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LaLiga2
Referee: S Ais
Burgos
U U U S S
1–0
Full-time
Andorra
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Andorra
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,5
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 41/41 matches
Win Ø 43%
46%
39%
Points per game
1,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
32%
54%
Both score Ø 50%
39%
61%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%
11 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 2
7 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 7. · Andorra 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 41 24 7 10 +26 -1.2 79
2 La Coruna 41 22 11 8 +22 +2.1 77
3 Almeria 41 21 8 12 +17 +2.0 71
4 Malaga 41 20 10 11 +21 +6.2 70
5 Las Palmas 41 19 13 9 +16 +0.7 70
6 Castellon 41 19 12 10 +18 +6.9 69
7 Burgos 41 19 12 10 +14 +5.3 69
8 Eibar 41 19 10 12 +13 +7.1 67
9 Sp Gijon 42 18 7 17 +6 +1.2 61
10 Ceuta 42 17 10 15 -12 -15.2 61
11 Cordoba 41 17 9 15 -4 +6.7 60
12 Albacete 42 16 11 15 +1 +1.9 59
13 Andorra 41 16 10 15 +9 +2.9 58
14 Granada 42 12 12 18 -6 -1.2 48
15 Sociedad B 42 12 11 19 -9 -8.3 47
16 Valladolid 41 12 10 19 -12 +2.2 46
17 Leganes 41 10 13 18 -9 +3.1 43
18 Cadiz 41 11 10 20 -17 -6.7 43
19 Mirandes 41 10 10 21 -21 -5.7 40
20 Huesca 41 9 10 22 -22 -0.2 37
21 Cultural Leonesa 42 9 10 23 -29 -12.7 37
22 Zaragoza 41 8 12 21 -22 +2.9 36

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Andorra
28′
🟨 Josep Cerdà
Curro Sánchez 🟨
34′
1–0 I. Morante
D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
40′
Half-time 1–0
49′
🟨 Diego Alende
58′
🔁 Y. Cabanzon
↦ A. Olabarrieta
71′
🔁 M. Nieto
↦ Lauti
71′
🔁 M. Kim
↦ E. Akman
M. Mejia 🔁
↦ Curro
78′
M. Exposito 🔁
↦ I. Morante
84′
P. Galdames 🔁
↦ F. Nino
90′
93′
🔁 V. Chumachenko
↦ J. Cerda
Álex Lizancos 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Burgos

4-4-2
13 A. Cantero G
2 A. Lizancos D
6 S. Gonzalez D
8 G. Sierra D
12 F. Miguel D
14 D. Gonzalez Ballesteros M
23 I. Morante M
5 M. Atienza M
21 I. Cordoba M
9 F. Nino F
16 Curro F
Bench (12)
1 J. Ruiz
35 D. Gonzalez
15 A. Bunuel
3 O. Luengo
28 S. del Cerro
31 F. Garcia
20 M. Gonzalez
4 P. Galdames
7 M. Mejia
22 B. Martinez
33 M. Exposito
17 M. Cantero

Coach: Luis Ramis

Andorra

4-3-3
13 J. Owono G
17 T. Carrique D
23 D. Alende D
20 M. Vila D
7 A. Calvo D
8 E. Akman M
18 M. Domenech M
6 D. Villahermosa M
15 A. Olabarrieta F
11 Lauti F
21 J. Cerda F
Bench (6)
31 J. Lagunas
9 M. Nieto
5 M. Bombardo Poyato
29 M. Kim
3 Y. Cabanzon
30 V. Chumachenko

Coach: Carles Manso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,48
U
3,91
B
5,98
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,89
U2,5 ✓
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Ais · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.