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LaLiga2
Referee: D Palencia
Granada
S T T S T
0–1
Full-time
Burgos
S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 39/39 matches
Win Ø 38%
31%
44%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
41%
33%
Both score Ø 46%
51%
41%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
8 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Granada 14. · Burgos 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 39 23 6 10 +23 -1.2 75
2 Almeria 39 21 8 10 +20 +2.0 71
3 La Coruna 39 20 11 8 +19 +1.2 71
4 Malaga 40 20 9 11 +21 +6.2 69
5 Castellon 40 18 12 10 +17 +6.9 66
6 Las Palmas 39 18 12 9 +15 +0.7 66
7 Eibar 40 18 10 12 +11 +7.1 64
8 Burgos 39 17 12 10 +11 +5.3 63
9 Cordoba 40 17 9 14 -2 +6.7 60
10 Andorra 39 16 10 13 +12 +3.7 58
11 Albacete 40 15 11 14 +0 +2.0 56
12 Ceuta 40 15 10 15 -15 -15.4 55
13 Sp Gijon 39 15 7 17 +1 +1.9 52
14 Granada 39 12 12 15 -2 -1.9 48
15 Sociedad B 40 12 10 18 -7 -9.0 46
16 Valladolid 39 12 10 17 -7 +2.2 46
17 Leganes 39 10 12 17 -6 +3.1 42
18 Cadiz 40 10 10 20 -20 -6.7 40
19 Mirandes 40 9 10 21 -23 -5.7 37
20 Huesca 39 9 9 21 -21 -0.2 36
21 Cultural Leonesa 40 9 9 22 -27 -12.1 36
22 Zaragoza 39 8 11 20 -20 +2.9 35

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Granada Burgos
-5′
🟨 Curro Sánchez
Pau Casadesús 🟨
12′
34′
🟨 Miguel Atienza
Half-time 0–0
B. Diaby 🔁
↦ O. Naasei
46′
Sergio Ruiz 🟨
59′
Bambo Diaby 🟨
61′
A. Sola 🔁
↦ G. Petit
63′
S. Rodelas 🔁
↦ P. Saenz
63′
63′
🔁 D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
↦ M. Atienza
63′
🔁 P. Galdames
↦ I. Cordoba
63′
🔁 K. Appin
↦ Curro
Álex Sola 🟨
67′
Rubén Alcaraz 🟨
69′
B. Diallo 🔁
↦ P. Casadesus
74′
77′
🔁 M. Mejia
↦ V. Mollejo
M. Trigueros 🔁
↦ R. Alcaraz
78′
90′
D. Gonzalez Ballesteros 0–1
93′
🔁 M. Exposito
↦ F. Nino
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Granada

4-3-3
13 A. Astralaga G
2 P. Casadesus D
28 O. Naasei D
36 Juanjo D
3 D. Hormigo D
20 S. Ruiz M
4 R. Alcaraz M
41 I. Gonzalez M
21 P. Saenz F
9 G. Petit F
11 J. M. Arnaiz F
Bench (9)
34 I. Garcia
10 M. Bouldini
7 A. Sola
22 B. Diallo
14 M. Trigueros
17 B. Diaby
23 L. Gagnidze
40 B. Diocou
26 S. Rodelas

Coach: Pacheta

Burgos

4-2-3-1
13 A. Cantero G
2 A. Lizancos D
6 S. Gonzalez D
8 G. Sierra D
12 F. Miguel D
5 M. Atienza M
23 I. Morante M
11 V. Mollejo M
16 Curro M
21 I. Cordoba M
9 F. Nino F
Bench (12)
1 J. Ruiz
15 A. Bunuel
3 O. Luengo
14 D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
28 S. del Cerro
31 F. Garcia
4 P. Galdames
10 K. Appin
7 M. Mejia
22 B. Martinez
33 M. Exposito
17 M. Cantero

Coach: Luis Ramis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,83
U
2,93
B ✓
2,50
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,53
U2,5 ✓
1,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Palencia · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.