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Serie B

Referee: Livio Marinelli

Arezzo

S T S

2–3

Full-time

Palermo

T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arezzo Palermo

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie B · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

1,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,18 xG 2,01

43% Possession 57%

15 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 4

4 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Arezzo 7. · Palermo 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Modena	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.7	6
2	Ascoli	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.9	4
3	Cesena	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
4	Padova	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.1	4
5	Avellino	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.6	3
6	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
7	Arezzo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
8	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
9	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
10	Sudtirol	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
11	Juve Stabia	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.7	3
12	Vicenza	2	1	0	1	-2	-0.2	3
13	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.0	1
14	Verona	2	0	1	1	-1	+2.5	1
15	Carrarese	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.2	1
16	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
17	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
18	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
19	Virtus Entella	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.2	0
20	Cremonese	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Avellino	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.6	3
2	Vicenza	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
3	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
4	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
5	Sudtirol	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
6	Ascoli	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
7	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
8	Padova	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
9	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
10	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.8	0
11	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
12	Virtus Entella	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
13	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
14	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
15	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Modena	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.7	6
2	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.8	3
3	Cesena	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
4	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
5	Arezzo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
6	Padova	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
7	Juve Stabia	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.7	3
8	Carrarese	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
9	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
10	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
11	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
12	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
13	Virtus Entella	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
14	Vicenza	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.