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Coppa Italia

Referee: A Arena

Palermo

U S T T S

2–0

Full-time

Lecce

U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Lecce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

45% Possession 55%

12 Shots 18

5 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 8

3 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Monza	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Parma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Cremonese	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Arezzo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Benevento	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Ascoli	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Catanzaro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Vicenza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Catania	2	0	1	1	-2	1
24	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Padova	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Ravenna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Potenza	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Union Brescia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	Cesena	1	0	0	1	-3	0
34	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Monza	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Benevento	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Parma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Cremonese	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Arezzo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Catanzaro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Vicenza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
3	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Catania	2	0	1	1	-2	1
6	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Padova	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Arezzo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Ravenna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Potenza	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Union Brescia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-3	0
15	Ascoli	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Cesena	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.