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Serie B

Referee: Matteo Marchetti

Juve Stabia

S T S U T

1–0

Full-time

Palermo

S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juve Stabia Palermo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

This season — Serie B · 10/11 matches

Win Ø 38%

30%

45%

Points per game

1,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

60%

36%

Both score Ø 43%

50%

36%

Average goals

2,5

2,1

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,78 xG 0,23

53% Possession 47%

14 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 1

7 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 27

1 Yellow cards 7

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Juve Stabia 11. · Palermo 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Modena	12	7	4	1	+13	+1.2	25
2	Monza	11	7	2	2	+8	+1.2	23
3	Frosinone	12	6	4	2	+11	+1.8	22
4	Cesena	11	6	2	3	+3	+0.8	20
5	Palermo	11	5	4	2	+7	-1.2	19
6	Venezia	11	4	4	3	+6	–	16
7	Reggiana	12	4	4	4	+0	-0.4	16
8	Avellino	11	4	4	3	-3	+0.2	16
9	Carrarese	12	3	6	3	+2	+1.0	15
10	Catanzaro	12	3	6	3	+1	-1.3	15
11	Juve Stabia	10	3	5	2	-1	–	14
12	Padova	12	3	5	4	-2	-1.3	14
13	Empoli	12	3	5	4	-4	+0.6	14
14	Virtus Entella	12	3	5	4	-5	-2.7	14
15	Bari	11	3	4	4	-5	-0.7	13
16	Sudtirol	12	2	6	4	-3	-1.8	12
17	Mantova	12	3	2	7	-9	+1.3	11
18	Spezia	12	1	5	6	-5	+0.7	8
19	Pescara	11	1	5	5	-8	-0.2	8
20	Sampdoria	11	1	4	6	-6	+0.7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Modena	6	5	1	0	+10	–	16
2	Monza	6	5	0	1	+5	–	15
3	Venezia	5	4	0	1	+8	–	12
4	Palermo	7	3	3	1	+5	-1.2	12
5	Reggiana	6	3	3	0	+5	-0.4	12
6	Virtus Entella	6	3	3	0	+4	–	12
7	Frosinone	6	3	2	1	+7	+1.8	11
8	Empoli	7	2	5	0	+3	+0.6	11
9	Bari	5	3	2	0	+3	–	11
10	Avellino	5	3	1	1	+0	–	10
11	Catanzaro	6	2	3	1	+1	–	9
12	Juve Stabia	4	2	2	0	+3	–	8
13	Carrarese	6	2	2	2	+1	–	8
14	Pescara	6	1	4	1	+2	-0.2	7
15	Sudtirol	6	2	1	3	+0	-1.8	7
16	Mantova	6	2	1	3	-6	+1.3	7
17	Padova	5	1	3	1	+0	–	6
18	Cesena	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.8	5
19	Sampdoria	6	1	2	3	-1	–	5
20	Spezia	7	0	3	4	-6	+0.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cesena	7	5	0	2	+3	–	15
2	Frosinone	6	3	2	1	+4	–	11
3	Modena	6	2	3	1	+3	+1.2	9
4	Monza	5	2	2	1	+3	+1.2	8
5	Padova	7	2	2	3	-2	-1.3	8
6	Palermo	4	2	1	1	+2	–	7
7	Carrarese	6	1	4	1	+1	+1.0	7
8	Catanzaro	6	1	3	2	+0	-1.3	6
9	Avellino	6	1	3	2	-3	+0.2	6
10	Juve Stabia	6	1	3	2	-4	–	6
11	Spezia	5	1	2	2	+1	–	5
12	Sudtirol	6	0	5	1	-3	–	5
13	Venezia	6	0	4	2	-2	–	4
14	Mantova	6	1	1	4	-3	–	4
15	Reggiana	6	1	1	4	-5	–	4
16	Empoli	5	1	0	4	-7	–	3
17	Sampdoria	5	0	2	3	-5	+0.7	2
18	Bari	6	0	2	4	-8	-0.7	2
19	Virtus Entella	6	0	2	4	-9	-2.7	2
20	Pescara	5	0	1	4	-10	–	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.