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Serie B

Referee: S Sozza

Juve Stabia

T S U S U

1–3

Full-time

Palermo

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juve Stabia Palermo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

1,7

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

This season — Serie B · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 13%

25%

Both score Ø 25%

25%

Average goals

1,3

1,5

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

0,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

69% Possession 31%

14 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Juve Stabia 2. · Palermo 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	4	2	2	0	+3	8
2	Juve Stabia	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Spezia	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Reggiana	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Cesena	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Mantova	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Cittadella	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Cremonese	4	2	0	2	+2	6
9	Salernitana	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Sudtirol	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Brescia	4	2	0	2	-1	6
12	Cosenza	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Catanzaro	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Modena	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Sassuolo	4	1	2	1	-2	5
16	Palermo	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Frosinone	4	0	3	1	-1	3
18	Carrarese	4	1	0	3	-2	3
19	Sampdoria	4	0	2	2	-2	2
20	Bari	4	0	2	2	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Cesena	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Salernitana	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Spezia	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Mantova	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Sudtirol	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Catanzaro	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Reggiana	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Cosenza	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Carrarese	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Juve Stabia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Frosinone	3	0	3	0	+0	3
13	Modena	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Cremonese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
17	Palermo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Cittadella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Bari	2	0	1	1	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cittadella	3	2	0	1	+1	6
2	Juve Stabia	3	1	2	0	+2	5
3	Cremonese	2	1	0	1	+2	3
4	Reggiana	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Brescia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
6	Palermo	3	1	0	2	-2	3
7	Spezia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Sassuolo	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Modena	3	0	2	1	-1	2
10	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Cosenza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Mantova	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Bari	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Cesena	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Salernitana	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Carrarese	3	0	0	3	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.