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Serie B

Referee: M Piccinini

Cesena

U U S S T

3–5

Full-time

Sampdoria

T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cesena Sampdoria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 32%

38%

25%

Points per game

1,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

75%

63%

Both score Ø 69%

75%

63%

Average goals

3,1

2,6

Scored

1,6

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

52% Possession 48%

10 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 5

5 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cesena 12. · Sampdoria 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	9	6	2	1	+6	20
2	Spezia	9	5	4	0	+7	19
3	Sassuolo	9	5	3	1	+9	18
4	Cremonese	9	4	2	3	+3	14
5	Juve Stabia	9	4	2	3	+0	14
6	Brescia	9	4	1	4	+0	13
7	Palermo	9	3	3	3	+1	12
8	Reggiana	9	3	3	3	+1	12
9	Sudtirol	9	4	0	5	-1	12
10	Mantova	9	3	3	3	-2	12
11	Bari	9	2	5	2	+2	11
12	Cesena	8	3	2	3	+1	11
13	Salernitana	9	3	2	4	-2	11
14	Modena	9	2	4	3	+0	10
15	Cosenza	9	2	4	3	-2	10
16	Catanzaro	9	1	6	2	-1	9
17	Cittadella	9	2	3	4	-6	9
18	Sampdoria	8	2	2	4	-1	8
19	Carrarese	9	2	2	5	-5	8
20	Frosinone	9	1	3	5	-10	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	5	4	1	0	+6	13
2	Spezia	4	4	0	0	+5	12
3	Cesena	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Mantova	4	3	1	0	+3	10
5	Brescia	5	3	0	2	+2	9
6	Reggiana	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Sassuolo	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Modena	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Salernitana	5	2	1	2	-1	7
10	Cosenza	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Catanzaro	5	1	3	1	+1	6
12	Bari	5	1	3	1	+0	6
13	Juve Stabia	4	2	0	2	+0	6
14	Sudtirol	5	2	0	3	-2	6
15	Cremonese	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Carrarese	4	1	2	1	+0	5
17	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	-1	4
18	Cittadella	4	0	3	1	-1	3
19	Frosinone	5	0	3	2	-4	3
20	Palermo	3	0	2	1	-1	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	5	3	2	0	+6	11
2	Palermo	6	3	1	2	+2	10
3	Cremonese	5	3	0	2	+3	9
4	Juve Stabia	5	2	2	1	+0	8
5	Spezia	5	1	4	0	+2	7
6	Pisa	4	2	1	1	+0	7
7	Sudtirol	4	2	0	2	+1	6
8	Cittadella	5	2	0	3	-5	6
9	Bari	4	1	2	1	+2	5
10	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	+0	4
11	Salernitana	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Reggiana	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Brescia	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Modena	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Cosenza	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Catanzaro	4	0	3	1	-2	3
17	Carrarese	5	1	0	4	-5	3
18	Frosinone	4	1	0	3	-6	3
19	Mantova	5	0	2	3	-5	2
20	Cesena	4	0	1	3	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.