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Coppa Italia

Referee: N Turrini

Sassuolo

U S T T T

3–0

Full-time

Cesena

T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Cesena

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

58% Possession 42%

18 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 5

6 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Monza	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Parma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Arezzo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Benevento	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Ascoli	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Catanzaro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Vicenza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Catania	2	0	1	1	-2	1
22	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Padova	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Ravenna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Potenza	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Union Brescia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
30	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Monza	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Benevento	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Parma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Arezzo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Catanzaro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Vicenza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
3	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Catania	2	0	1	1	-2	1
6	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Padova	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Arezzo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Ravenna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Potenza	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Union Brescia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-3	0
14	Ascoli	1	0	0	1	-3	0
15	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.