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Serie A

Referee: Davide Massa

Spal

S S T S S

1–1

Full-time

Genoa

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spal Genoa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,8

0,5

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,2

This season — Serie A · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 27%

30%

24%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

48%

45%

Both score Ø 55%

52%

58%

Average goals

2,5

2,6

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%

11 Shots 18

5 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spal 13. · Genoa 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	34	28	4	2	+44	88
2	Napoli	34	21	7	6	+34	70
3	Inter	34	18	8	8	+24	62
4	Roma	34	16	10	8	+15	58
5	Atalanta	33	16	8	9	+24	56
6	Milan	33	15	11	7	+16	56
7	Torino	33	13	14	6	+13	53
8	Lazio	33	15	7	11	+12	52
9	Sampdoria	33	14	6	13	+9	48
10	Fiorentina	33	8	16	9	+6	40
11	Cagliari	34	10	10	14	-15	40
12	Sassuolo	33	8	14	11	-5	38
13	Spal	33	10	8	15	-13	38
14	Bologna	34	9	10	15	-11	37
15	Parma	33	9	9	15	-17	36
16	Genoa	33	8	10	15	-17	34
17	Udinese	33	8	9	16	-16	33
18	Empoli	34	7	8	19	-23	29
19	Frosinone	34	5	8	21	-36	23
20	Chievo	33	2	11	20	-44	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	17	15	2	0	+26	47
2	Napoli	17	11	4	2	+21	37
3	Roma	17	10	5	2	+14	35
4	Milan	17	10	4	3	+11	34
5	Inter	17	9	5	3	+14	32
6	Lazio	17	9	4	4	+13	31
7	Cagliari	17	8	6	3	+5	30
8	Sampdoria	16	9	2	5	+12	29
9	Torino	16	9	2	5	+8	29
10	Atalanta	16	7	5	4	+12	26
11	Bologna	17	7	4	6	+2	25
12	Udinese	17	7	4	6	-1	25
13	Empoli	17	7	3	7	-1	24
14	Genoa	17	6	6	5	-1	24
15	Fiorentina	16	5	8	3	+8	23
16	Sassuolo	17	5	8	4	+0	23
17	Spal	16	5	6	5	-4	21
18	Parma	17	4	6	7	-8	18
19	Chievo	16	1	5	10	-19	8
20	Frosinone	17	1	5	11	-22	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	17	13	2	2	+18	41
2	Napoli	17	10	3	4	+13	33
3	Atalanta	17	9	3	5	+12	30
4	Inter	17	9	3	5	+10	30
5	Torino	17	4	12	1	+5	24
6	Roma	17	6	5	6	+1	23
7	Milan	16	5	7	4	+5	22
8	Lazio	16	6	3	7	-1	21
9	Sampdoria	17	5	4	8	-3	19
10	Parma	16	5	3	8	-9	18
11	Fiorentina	17	3	8	6	-2	17
12	Spal	17	5	2	10	-9	17
13	Sassuolo	16	3	6	7	-5	15
14	Frosinone	17	4	3	10	-14	15
15	Bologna	17	2	6	9	-13	12
16	Genoa	16	2	4	10	-16	10
17	Cagliari	17	2	4	11	-20	10
18	Chievo	17	1	6	10	-25	9
19	Udinese	16	1	5	10	-15	8
20	Empoli	17	0	5	12	-22	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.