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Serie B
Referee: F Cosso
Palermo
T S U T T
1–0
Full-time
Genoa
S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Genoa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
This season — Serie B · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%
10 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 7
1 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Palermo 13. · Genoa 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Reggina 4 3 0 1 +8 9
2 Frosinone 4 3 0 1 +5 9
3 Brescia 4 3 0 1 +1 9
4 Genoa 4 2 2 0 +2 8
5 Ascoli 4 2 2 0 +2 8
6 Benevento 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Cosenza 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Cagliari 4 2 1 1 +1 7
9 Bari 4 1 3 0 +2 6
10 Parma 4 1 3 0 +1 6
11 Cittadella 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Spal 4 1 2 1 -1 5
13 Palermo 4 1 1 2 -2 4
14 Venezia 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Ternana 4 1 1 2 -3 4
16 Modena 4 1 0 3 +0 3
17 Sudtirol 4 1 0 3 -6 3
18 Como 4 0 2 2 -3 2
19 Pisa 4 0 1 3 -3 1
20 Perugia 4 0 1 3 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Palermo Genoa
Aleš Matějů 🟨
21′
Matteo Brunori 🟨
28′
44′
🟨 Marko Pajač
Half-time 1–0
1–0 M. Brunori
49′
52′
🟨 Filip Jagiełło
52′
🔁 G. Yalçın
↦ M. Portanova
52′
🔁 M. Aramu
↦ F. Jagiełło
Leo Štulac 🟨
56′
S. Damiani 🔁
↦ D. Šarić
60′
64′
🟨 Milan Badelj
64′
🔁 P. Galdames
↦ M. Pajač
65′
🔁 K. Strootman
↦ M. Badelj
79′
🔁 G. Puşcaş
↦ S. Hefti
81′
🟨 Pablo Galdames
C. Gomes 🔁
↦ L. Štulac
84′
E. Soleri 🔁
↦ F. Di Mariano
84′
M. Sala 🔁
↦ A. Matějů
89′
L. Vido 🔁
↦ M. Brunori
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Palermo

4-3-3
22 M. Pigliacelli G
25 A. Buttaro D
18 I. Nedelcearu D
15 I. Marconi D
37 A. Matějů D
8 J. Segre M
16 L. Štulac M
28 D. Šarić M
77 S. Elia F
9 M. Brunori F
10 F. Di Mariano F
Bench (12)
21 S. Damiani
5 C. Gomes
27 E. Soleri
3 M. Sala
19 L. Vido
12 S. Massolo
30 N. Valente
2 E. Pierozzi
1 G. Grotta
79 E. Lancini
6 R. Crivello
7 R. Floriano

Coach: E. Corini

Genoa

4-4-2
22 Josep Martínez G
36 S. Hefti D
13 M. Bani D
5 R. Drăgușin D
93 M. Pajač D
90 M. Portanova M
32 M. Frendrup M
47 M. Badelj M
24 F. Jagiełło M
9 M. Coda F
18 C. Ekuban F
Bench (11)
50 G. Yalçın
10 M. Aramu
99 P. Galdames
8 K. Strootman
57 G. Puşcaş
14 A. Vogliacco
21 K. Yeboah
1 A. Šemper
2 S. Sabelli
82 G. Agostino
3 L. Czyborra

Coach: A. Blessin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,91
U
3,41
B
1,93
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,00
U2,5 ✓
1,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Cosso · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.