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Serie B

Referee: L Maggioni

Spal

S S S T U

1–0

Full-time

Cagliari

T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spal Cagliari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

This season — Serie B · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%

9 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 5

3 Offside 3

20 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Spal 17. · Cagliari 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Cosenza	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Palermo	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Cagliari	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Ascoli	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Genoa	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Reggina	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Cittadella	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Venezia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Ternana	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Brescia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Bari	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Como	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Parma	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Pisa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Benevento	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Spal	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Perugia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Modena	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Sudtirol	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ascoli	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Cittadella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Cosenza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Ternana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Parma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Perugia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Spal	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggina	2	1	0	1	+1	3
2	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Cosenza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Spal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Palermo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Benevento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Parma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Cittadella	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Perugia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Brescia	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.