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2. Bundesliga
Referee: L Erbst
Greuther Furth
T T T U S
3–2
Full-time
Dresden
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Greuther Furth Dresden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,59 xG 1,54
31% Possession 69%
10 Shots 21
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 10
1 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Jun -20 Dresden – Greuther Furth 1–1 18. Oct -19 Greuther Furth – Dresden 2–0

Match report

Greuther Furth Dresden
1–0 N. Futkeu ⚽
R. Munz
1′
2–0 F. Klaus ⚽
B. Hrgota
9′
11′
⚽ C. Daferner 2–1
J. Lemmer
Felix Klaus 🟨
27′
Half-time 3–1
3–1 N. Futkeu ⚽
M. Olesen
51′
63′
🔁 K. Amoako
↦ A. Casar
63′
🔁 D. Kother
↦ J. Oehmichen
63′
🔁 N. Hauptmann
↦ J. Lemmer
74′
⚽ C. Kammerknecht 3–2
J. Consbruch 🔁
↦ N. Futkeu
75′
F. Higl 🔁
↦ B. Hrgota
85′
85′
🔁 S. Kutschke
↦ C. Daferner
89′
🔁 S. Risch
↦ L. Bunning
D. Srbeny 🔁
↦ J. Green
92′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Greuther Furth

3-1-4-2
26 P. Boevink G
33 M. Dietz D
4 P. Ziereis D
25 B. Bjarnason D
8 M. Olesen M
23 J. Dehm M
30 F. Klaus M
37 J. Green M
5 R. Munz M
9 N. Futkeu F
10 B. Hrgota F
Bench (9)
31 S. Jung
38 R. Marita
17 N. Konig
34 M. Fries
14 J. Consbruch
42 O. Sillah
22 J. Cabrera
18 F. Higl
7 D. Srbeny

Coach: Heiko Vogel

Dresden

4-3-2-1
1 T. Schreiber G
2 K. Faber D
15 C. Kammerknecht D
23 L. Bunning D
19 A. Rossipal D
17 A. Casar M
5 V. Sapina M
25 J. Oehmichen M
10 J. Lemmer M
16 N. Froling M
33 C. Daferner F
Bench (9)
37 D. Mesenholer
28 S. Risch
29 L. Boeder
6 K. Amoako
8 L. Herrmann
11 D. Kother
24 T. Menzel
27 N. Hauptmann
30 S. Kutschke

Coach: Thomas Stamm

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,17
🔒
U
3,63
🔒
B
2,89
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,57
🔒
U2,5
2,27
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Erbst · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.