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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Braun
Hansa Rostock
T T T U S
2–3
Full-time
St Pauli
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hansa Rostock St Pauli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 46%
38%
54%
Points per game
1,2
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
54%
54%
Both score Ø 58%
54%
62%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,4
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

38% Possession 62%
16 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hansa Rostock 13. · St Pauli 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 13 7 6 0 +15 27
2 Hamburg 14 8 3 3 +10 27
3 Hannover 14 6 5 3 +11 23
4 Holstein Kiel 13 7 2 4 +2 23
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 13 6 3 4 +9 21
6 Greuther Furth 13 6 3 4 +4 21
7 Wehen 13 6 3 4 +2 21
8 Nurnberg 13 6 3 4 +0 21
9 Elversberg 13 6 3 4 +0 21
10 Hertha 14 5 3 6 +2 18
11 Kaiserslautern 13 5 3 5 +0 18
12 Paderborn 13 5 3 5 -2 18
13 Hansa Rostock 13 5 1 7 -5 16
14 Magdeburg 13 3 4 6 -2 13
15 Karlsruhe 13 3 4 6 -4 13
16 Schalke 04 13 4 1 8 -8 13
17 Braunschweig 14 2 2 10 -17 8
18 Osnabruck 13 1 4 8 -17 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hansa Rostock St Pauli
1–0 Júnior Brumado
9′
15′
M. Saliakas 1–1
E. Smith
18′
M. Hartel 1–2
23′
O. Afolayan 1–3
E. Saad
Oliver Hüsing 🟨
37′
Júnior Brumado 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–3
K. Schumacher 🔁
↦ N. Fröling
65′
J. Perea 🔁
↦ C. Kinsombi
65′
73′
🔁 C. Metcalfe
↦ O. Afolayan
2–3 Júnior Brumado
80′
85′
🔁 E. Amenyido
↦ E. Saad
S. Güler 🔁
↦ K. Pröger
87′
S. Singh 🔁
↦ S. Vasiliadis
87′
91′
🔁 L. Ritzka
↦ M. Saliakas
96′
🟨 Johannes Eggestein
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Hansa Rostock

4-2-2-2
1 M. Kolke G
22 J. van der Werff D
5 O. Hüsing D
4 D. Roßbach D
21 A. Rossipal D
19 S. Vasiliadis M
6 D. Dressel M
10 N. Fröling M
27 C. Kinsombi M
9 K. Pröger F
49 Júnior Brumado F
Bench (9)
13 K. Schumacher
18 J. Perea
11 S. Güler
28 S. Singh
16 L. Hinterseer
34 J. Lang
26 J. Bachmann
8 S. Rhein
23 N. Körber

Coach: A. Schwartz

St Pauli

3-4-3
22 N. Vasilj G
5 H. Wahl D
8 E. Smith D
3 K. Mets D
2 M. Saliakas M
7 J. Irvine M
10 M. Hartel M
23 P. Treu M
17 O. Afolayan F
11 J. Eggestein F
26 E. Saad F
Bench (9)
24 C. Metcalfe
14 E. Amenyido
21 L. Ritzka
30 S. Burchert
9 Maurides
16 C. Boukhalfa
4 D. Nemeth
6 S. Zoller
25 A. Dźwigała

Coach: F. Hürzeler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,73
U
3,86
B ✓
1,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,77
U2,5
2,04
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Braun · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.