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Süper Lig

Referee: T Numanoğlu

İstanbulspor

S T T T T

2–1

Full-time

Hatayspor

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

İstanbulspor Hatayspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

2,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 21%

33%

Points per game

0,4

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

42%

67%

Both score Ø 63%

58%

67%

Average goals

2,6

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,1

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,73 xG 2,19

46% Possession 54%

15 Shots 10

10 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 9

8 Corners 6

1 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match İstanbulspor 20. · Hatayspor 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	12	10	1	1	+23	+23.4	31
2	Galatasaray	12	10	1	1	+14	+15.5	31
3	Ad. Demirspor	12	6	4	2	+11	+3.3	22
4	Trabzonspor	12	7	1	4	+7	-2.7	22
5	Besiktas	12	7	1	4	+4	+7.0	22
6	Kayserispor	12	6	4	2	+4	-2.8	22
7	Antalyaspor	12	5	3	4	+4	-0.3	18
8	Kasimpasa	12	5	3	4	-2	-3.1	18
9	Hatayspor	12	4	5	3	+4	+2.8	17
10	Rizespor	12	5	2	5	-6	-6.6	17
11	Gaziantep	12	5	0	7	-5	-4.1	15
12	Karagumruk	12	3	5	4	+3	-5.0	14
13	Sivasspor	12	3	5	4	-4	-0.2	14
14	Ankaragücü	12	3	4	5	-1	-2.5	13
15	Pendikspor	12	3	4	5	-10	-5.8	13
16	Konyaspor	12	2	4	6	-7	-3.7	10
17	Alanyaspor	12	2	4	6	-8	-2.1	10
18	Buyuksehyr	12	2	3	7	-8	-4.8	9
19	Samsunspor	12	2	2	8	-10	+2.0	8
20	İstanbulspor	12	1	2	9	-13	-10.4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ad. Demirspor	7	6	1	0	+14	+5.4	19
2	Besiktas	6	5	1	0	+8	+6.6	16
3	Fenerbahce	6	5	0	1	+12	+12.9	15
4	Galatasaray	5	5	0	0	+7	+8.1	15
5	Trabzonspor	6	5	0	1	+6	+1.5	15
6	Kayserispor	6	4	2	0	+6	+3.2	14
7	Hatayspor	6	3	2	1	+3	+2.3	11
8	Antalyaspor	6	3	2	1	+2	-0.9	11
9	Rizespor	6	3	2	1	+2	+0.0	11
10	Kasimpasa	7	3	1	3	-3	-2.3	10
11	Karagumruk	7	2	3	2	+3	-2.4	9
12	Gaziantep	5	3	0	2	+0	-0.2	9
13	Ankaragücü	6	2	2	2	+0	+1.3	8
14	Alanyaspor	7	2	2	3	-2	+0.1	8
15	Samsunspor	5	2	1	2	-1	+2.1	7
16	Konyaspor	6	1	2	3	-2	-0.8	5
17	Pendikspor	6	1	2	3	-9	-6.8	5
18	Buyuksehyr	5	1	1	3	-2	-2.6	4
19	Sivasspor	6	0	4	2	-3	+1.8	4
20	İstanbulspor	6	1	1	4	-5	-6.8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	6	5	1	0	+11	+10.5	16
2	Galatasaray	7	5	1	1	+7	+7.5	16
3	Sivasspor	6	3	1	2	-1	-2.0	10
4	Kasimpasa	5	2	2	1	+1	-0.8	8
5	Pendikspor	6	2	2	2	-1	+1.0	8
6	Kayserispor	6	2	2	2	-2	-5.9	8
7	Antalyaspor	6	2	1	3	+2	+0.6	7
8	Trabzonspor	6	2	1	3	+1	-4.2	7
9	Hatayspor	6	1	3	2	+1	+0.5	6
10	Besiktas	6	2	0	4	-4	+0.4	6
11	Gaziantep	7	2	0	5	-5	-3.9	6
12	Rizespor	6	2	0	4	-8	-6.7	6
13	Karagumruk	5	1	2	2	+0	-2.6	5
14	Ankaragücü	6	1	2	3	-1	-3.8	5
15	Konyaspor	6	1	2	3	-5	-2.8	5
16	Buyuksehyr	7	1	2	4	-6	-2.1	5
17	Ad. Demirspor	5	0	3	2	-3	-2.1	3
18	Alanyaspor	5	0	2	3	-6	-2.2	2
19	İstanbulspor	6	0	1	5	-8	-3.6	1
20	Samsunspor	7	0	1	6	-9	-0.1	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.