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Bundesliga
Referee: A Talic
Sturm Graz
U T T T S
2–0
Full-time
A. Lustenau
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz A. Lustenau
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,3
0,3
Conceded
1,3
2,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-2,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 32%
64%
0%
Points per game
2,1
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
57%
50%
Both score Ø 40%
50%
29%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,7
0,5
Conceded
0,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
24 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 3
9 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · A. Lustenau 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 14 9 3 2 +21 30
2 Sturm Graz 14 9 3 2 +13 30
3 LASK 14 7 4 3 +7 25
4 Hartberg 14 7 4 3 +6 25
5 A. Klagenfurt 14 5 6 3 -1 21
6 Wolfsberger AC 14 5 5 4 +1 20
7 Austria Vienna 14 5 4 5 +1 19
8 SK Rapid 14 4 6 4 +11 18
9 BW Linz 14 4 4 6 -9 16
10 Altach 14 3 4 7 -12 13
11 Tirol 14 2 2 10 -13 8
12 A. Lustenau 14 0 3 11 -25 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Aug -23 A. Lustenau – Sturm Graz 0–1 4. Mar -23 A. Lustenau – Sturm Graz 0–2 18. Sep -22 Sturm Graz – A. Lustenau 2–0

Match report

Sturm Graz A. Lustenau
28′
🔁 B. Moltenis
↦ S. Šurdanović
34′
🟨 Baïla Diallo
Half-time 1–0
1–0 T. Horvat ⚽
48′
Stefan Hierländer 🟨
51′
52′
🟨 Baïla Diallo
52′
🟥 Baïla Diallo
Javi Serrano 🔁
↦ S. Hierländer
57′
63′
🔁 F. Gmeiner
↦ T. Rhein
63′
🔁 B. Bobzien
↦ N. Cissé
2–0 A. Prass ⚽
J. Gazibegović
70′
71′
🟨 Domenik Schierl
A. Camara 🔁
↦ S. Włodarczyk
72′
80′
🔁 J. Schmid
↦ Anderson
80′
🔁 L. Mätzler
↦ D. Tiefenbach
M. Fuseini 🔁
↦ M. Sarkaria
85′
Bryan Teixeira 🔁
↦ T. Horvat
85′
A. Dante 🔁
↦ D. Schnegg
85′
92′
🟨 Kennedy Boateng
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
31 L. Marić G
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
24 D. Lavalée D
28 D. Schnegg D
25 S. Hierländer M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
8 A. Prass M
19 T. Horvat M
9 S. Włodarczyk F
11 M. Sarkaria F
Bench (7)
14 Javi Serrano
36 A. Camara
29 M. Fuseini
17 Bryan Teixeira
44 A. Dante
6 A. Borković
40 M. Bignetti

Coach: C. Ilzer

A. Lustenau

3-4-3
27 D. Schierl G
33 D. Tiefenbach D
3 K. Boateng D
6 D. Grujčić D
28 Anderson M
70 S. Šurdanović M
23 P. Grabher M
11 B. Diallo M
8 T. Rhein F
15 N. Cissé F
22 Y. Diaby F
Bench (7)
2 B. Moltenis
7 F. Gmeiner
19 B. Bobzien
20 J. Schmid
5 L. Mätzler
9 N. Frederiksen
21 A. Helac

Coach: A. Schneider

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Talic · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.