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Premier League
Referee: A Madley
1–3
Full-time
Bournemouth
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield United Bournemouth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
2,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 13%
8%
17%
Points per game
0,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
75%
67%
Both score Ø 63%
67%
58%
Average goals
3,4
3,2
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
2,6
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,78 xG 2,86
46% Possession 54%
10 Shots 23
2 Shots on target 11
4 Blocked shots 2
8 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 7
4 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield United 19. · Bournemouth 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Man City 13 9 2 2 +20 +14.5 29
2 Liverpool 13 8 4 1 +17 +11.5 28
3 Arsenal 12 8 3 1 +16 +12.1 27
4 Tottenham 12 8 2 2 +9 +0.3 26
5 Aston Villa 12 8 1 3 +12 +8.1 25
6 Man United 12 7 0 5 -3 -1.4 21
7 Newcastle 12 6 2 4 +14 +10.2 20
8 Brighton 12 5 4 3 +4 +3.5 19
9 West Ham 12 5 2 5 -1 -4.7 17
10 Chelsea 12 4 4 4 +5 +10.4 16
11 Brentford 12 4 4 4 +2 +6.3 16
12 Wolves 12 4 3 5 -4 -2.8 15
13 Crystal Palace 12 4 3 5 -4 -2.7 15
14 Everton 12 4 2 6 -3 +2.1 14
15 Nott'm Forest 12 3 4 5 -4 -5.5 13
16 Fulham 12 3 3 6 -10 -10.0 12
17 Bournemouth 12 2 3 7 -16 -10.3 9
18 Luton 12 1 3 8 -12 -12.0 6
19 Sheffield United 12 1 2 9 -21 -16.9 5
20 Burnley 12 1 1 10 -21 -12.7 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield United Bournemouth
12′
M. Tavernier 0–1
A. Semenyo
Oliver Norwood 🟨
22′
Half-time 0–1
A. Ahmedhodžić 🔁
↦ J. Bogle
46′
O. McBurnie 🔁
↦ Vinicius Souza
46′
46′
🔁 M. Kerkez
↦ L. Kelly
48′
J. Kluivert 0–2
Luke Thomas 🟨
51′
51′
M. Tavernier 0–3
A. Smith
B. Osborn 🔁
↦ L. Thomas
66′
66′
🔁 L. Sinisterra
↦ A. Semenyo
66′
🔁 P. Billing
↦ J. Kluivert
George Baldock 🟨
69′
Jack Robinson 🟨
70′
70′
🟨 Philip Billing
W. Osula 🔁
↦ J. McAtee
81′
J. Fleck 🔁
↦ G. Hamer
81′
82′
🔁 D. Brooks
↦ M. Tavernier
1–3 O. McBurnie
G. Baldock
97′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Sheffield United

3-4-2-1
18 W. Foderingham G
2 G. Baldock D
19 J. Robinson D
5 A. Trusty D
20 J. Bogle M
16 O. Norwood M
21 Vinicius Souza M
14 L. Thomas M
28 J. McAtee F
8 G. Hamer F
10 C. Archer F
Bench (9)
15 A. Ahmedhodžić
9 O. McBurnie
23 B. Osborn
32 W. Osula
4 J. Fleck
1 A. Davies
25 A. Ben Slimane
3 M. Lowe
11 B. Traoré

Coach: P. Heckingbottom

Bournemouth

4-2-3-1
1 Neto G
15 A. Smith D
27 I. Zabarnyi D
25 M. Senesi D
5 L. Kelly D
4 L. Cook M
10 R. Christie M
24 A. Semenyo M
19 J. Kluivert M
16 M. Tavernier M
9 D. Solanke F
Bench (9)
3 M. Kerkez
17 L. Sinisterra
29 P. Billing
7 D. Brooks
8 J. Rothwell
11 D. Ouattara
21 K. Moore
42 M. Travers
6 C. Mepham

Coach: Andoni Iraola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,29
U
3,53
B ✓
2,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
2,02
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Madley · 167 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.