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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Hempel
Hansa Rostock
T T T S T
1–3
Full-time
Holstein Kiel
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hansa Rostock Holstein Kiel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
44%
56%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
56%
56%
Both score Ø 62%
56%
67%
Average goals
2,6
3,3
Scored
1,1
1,7
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%
22 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 5
8 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
9 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hansa Rostock 13. · Holstein Kiel 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 10 5 5 0 +12 20
2 Hamburg 10 6 2 2 +9 20
3 Hannover 10 5 3 2 +10 18
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 10 5 3 2 +9 18
5 Kaiserslautern 10 5 2 3 +3 17
6 Holstein Kiel 9 5 1 3 +0 16
7 Elversberg 10 4 3 3 +0 15
8 Paderborn 10 4 3 3 -1 15
9 Magdeburg 10 3 4 3 +2 13
10 Hertha 9 4 0 5 +2 12
11 Wehen 10 3 3 4 -2 12
12 Greuther Furth 10 3 3 4 -3 12
13 Hansa Rostock 9 4 0 5 -3 12
14 Nurnberg 9 3 3 3 -5 12
15 Karlsruhe 9 2 3 4 -3 9
16 Schalke 04 9 2 1 6 -6 7
17 Osnabruck 10 1 3 6 -12 6
18 Braunschweig 10 1 2 7 -12 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hansa Rostock Holstein Kiel
1–0 C. Kinsombi
A. Rossipal
18′
33′
J. Arp 1–1
35′
🟨 Timo Becker
Half-time 1–1
J. Perea 🔁
↦ Júnior Brumado
46′
54′
🟨 Carl Johansson
56′
N. Remberg 1–2
T. Rothe
58′
T. Becker 1–3
P. Sander
60′
ℹ️ Timo Becker
VAR: Goal confirmed
J. Strauß 🔁
↦ N. Neidhart
61′
61′
🔁 H. Friðjónsson
↦ B. Pichler
63′
🟨 Nicolai Remberg
Christian Kinsombi 🟨
69′
70′
🔁 M. Ivezić
↦ F. Porath
70′
🔁 S. Skrzybski
↦ J. Arp
K. Pröger 🔁
↦ N. Fröling
73′
L. Hinterseer 🔁
↦ K. Schumacher
74′
82′
🟨 Carl Johansson
82′
🟥 Carl Johansson
85′
🔁 J. Sterner
↦ N. Remberg
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Hansa Rostock

3-4-2-1
1 M. Kolke G
22 J. van der Werff D
4 D. Roßbach D
21 A. Rossipal D
7 N. Neidhart M
14 S. Ingelsson M
6 D. Dressel M
13 K. Schumacher M
10 N. Fröling F
27 C. Kinsombi F
49 Júnior Brumado F
Bench (9)
18 J. Perea
24 J. Strauß
9 K. Pröger
16 L. Hinterseer
26 J. Bachmann
11 S. Güler
17 J. David
29 F. Ruschke
23 N. Körber

Coach: A. Schwartz

Holstein Kiel

3-4-1-2
1 T. Weiner G
34 C. Kleine-Bekel D
5 C. Johansson D
3 M. Komenda D
17 T. Becker M
16 P. Sander M
8 F. Porath M
18 T. Rothe M
22 N. Remberg F
20 J. Arp F
9 B. Pichler F
Bench (9)
19 H. Friðjónsson
6 M. Ivezić
7 S. Skrzybski
32 J. Sterner
13 S. Machino
31 M. Engelhardt
27 J. Mees
11 B. Simakala
23 L. Rosenboom

Coach: M. Rapp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,71
U
3,53
B ✓
2,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,19
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Hempel · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.