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Serie B
Referee: M Monaldi
Pisa
S T T U S
1–1
Full-time
Brescia
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pisa Brescia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
This season — Serie B · 13/12 matches
Win Ø 28%
31%
25%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
46%
25%
Both score Ø 48%
62%
33%
Average goals
2,1
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

64% Possession 36%
12 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 6
3 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pisa 13. · Brescia 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 14 9 3 2 +15 30
2 Venezia 14 9 3 2 +11 30
3 Cremonese 14 7 4 3 +9 25
4 Como 13 7 3 3 +3 24
5 Palermo 13 7 2 4 +8 23
6 Modena 14 6 5 3 +1 23
7 Cittadella 14 6 4 4 -1 22
8 Catanzaro 13 6 3 4 +2 21
9 Cosenza 13 5 4 4 +5 19
10 Sampdoria 14 5 3 6 -1 18
11 Bari 14 3 9 2 -1 18
12 Sudtirol 13 4 4 5 +1 16
13 Pisa 13 4 4 5 -1 16
14 Reggiana 14 3 7 4 -3 16
15 Brescia 12 3 4 5 -3 13
16 Ascoli 14 3 4 7 -4 13
17 Lecco 13 3 3 7 -8 12
18 Spezia 14 1 7 6 -9 10
19 Ternana 13 1 4 8 -6 7
20 FeralpiSalo 14 1 4 9 -18 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pisa Brescia
1–0 S. Moreo
L. Tramoni
5′
14′
B. Bjarnason 1–1
25′
🔁 M. Huard
↦ M. Fares
38′
🟨 Andrea Cistana
Mattia Valoti 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–1
Stefano Moreo ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
61′
E. Gliozzi 🔁
↦ E. Torregrossa
69′
Á. Nagy 🔁
↦ A. Barberis
69′
M. D'Alessandro 🔁
↦ S. Moreo
69′
71′
🔁 N. Galazzi
↦ B. Bjarnason
71′
🔁 F. Bianchi
↦ G. Moncini
E. Vignato 🔁
↦ L. Tramoni
78′
80′
🔁 G. Borrelli
↦ G. Olzer
Tomás Esteves 🟨
85′
88′
🟨 Gennaro Borrelli
A. Calabresi 🔁
↦ Tomás Esteves
91′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Pisa

4-1-4-1
1 Nícolas G
19 Tomás Esteves D
3 M. Leverbe D
5 S. Canestrelli D
20 P. Beruatto D
51 A. Barberis M
7 L. Tramoni M
27 M. Valoti M
36 G. Piccinini M
32 S. Moreo M
10 E. Torregrossa F
Bench (12)
9 E. Gliozzi
16 Á. Nagy
77 M. D'Alessandro
23 E. Vignato
33 A. Calabresi
22 L. Loria
28 A. Arena
44 Miguel Veloso
26 G. Masucci
42 T. Barbieri
6 H. Hermannsson
17 J. Mlakar

Coach: A. Aquilani

Brescia

3-4-2-1
1 L. Lezzerini G
32 A. Papetti D
15 A. Cistana D
14 M. Mangraviti D
24 L. Dickmann M
26 M. Bertagnoli M
5 T. van de Looi M
6 M. Fares M
27 G. Olzer F
7 B. Bjarnason F
11 G. Moncini F
Bench (10)
3 M. Huard
23 N. Galazzi
9 F. Bianchi
29 G. Borrelli
22 L. Andrenacci
28 D. Adorni
31 M. Ferro
39 M. Besaggio
21 R. Fogliata
8 E. Ndoj

Coach: R. Maran

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,06
U ✓
3,15
B
3,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,31
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Monaldi · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.