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2. Bundesliga

Referee: F Heft

Elversberg

U S S T S

4–1

Full-time

Paderborn

U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elversberg Paderborn

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,8

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 42%

46%

38%

Points per game

1,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 74%

62%

85%

Both score Ø 74%

62%

85%

Average goals

2,9

3,4

Scored

1,5

1,6

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%

15 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 3

6 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elversberg 9. · Paderborn 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	13	7	6	0	+15	27
2	Hamburg	14	8	3	3	+10	27
3	Hannover	14	6	5	3	+11	23
4	Holstein Kiel	13	7	2	4	+2	23
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	6	3	4	+9	21
6	Greuther Furth	13	6	3	4	+4	21
7	Wehen	13	6	3	4	+2	21
8	Nurnberg	13	6	3	4	+0	21
9	Elversberg	13	6	3	4	+0	21
10	Hertha	14	5	3	6	+2	18
11	Kaiserslautern	13	5	3	5	+0	18
12	Paderborn	13	5	3	5	-2	18
13	Hansa Rostock	13	5	1	7	-5	16
14	Magdeburg	13	3	4	6	-2	13
15	Karlsruhe	13	3	4	6	-4	13
16	Schalke 04	13	4	1	8	-8	13
17	Braunschweig	14	2	2	10	-17	8
18	Osnabruck	13	1	4	8	-17	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	7	7	0	0	+13	21
2	Greuther Furth	7	5	1	1	+10	16
3	St Pauli	7	4	3	0	+11	15
4	Hannover	7	4	2	1	+11	14
5	Kaiserslautern	7	4	1	2	+4	13
6	Wehen	7	3	3	1	+1	12
7	Nurnberg	6	3	2	1	+3	11
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	Hertha	6	3	1	2	+8	10
10	Holstein Kiel	7	3	1	3	-1	10
11	Hansa Rostock	7	3	1	3	-1	10
12	Schalke 04	6	3	0	3	+1	9
13	Magdeburg	6	2	2	2	+1	8
14	Paderborn	6	2	2	2	+0	8
15	Karlsruhe	6	2	2	2	+0	8
16	Braunschweig	7	2	2	3	-4	8
17	Elversberg	6	2	1	3	-4	7
18	Osnabruck	7	1	2	4	-4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Elversberg	7	4	2	1	+4	14
2	Holstein Kiel	6	4	1	1	+3	13
3	St Pauli	6	3	3	0	+4	12
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	3	1	2	+8	10
5	Paderborn	7	3	1	3	-2	10
6	Nurnberg	7	3	1	3	-3	10
7	Wehen	6	3	0	3	+1	9
8	Hannover	7	2	3	2	+0	9
9	Hertha	8	2	2	4	-6	8
10	Hamburg	7	1	3	3	-3	6
11	Hansa Rostock	6	2	0	4	-4	6
12	Magdeburg	7	1	2	4	-3	5
13	Karlsruhe	7	1	2	4	-4	5
14	Kaiserslautern	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Greuther Furth	6	1	2	3	-6	5
16	Schalke 04	7	1	1	5	-9	4
17	Osnabruck	6	0	2	4	-13	2
18	Braunschweig	7	0	0	7	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.