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2. Bundesliga
Referee: C Dingert
Hansa Rostock
T S T S T
2–0
Full-time
St Pauli
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hansa Rostock St Pauli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
4,0
Scored
0,8
2,5
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
25%
75%
Average goals
2,3
3,8
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

37% Possession 63%
12 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 7
16 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hansa Rostock 14. · St Pauli 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paderborn 5 4 0 1 +12 12
2 Darmstadt 5 4 0 1 +5 12
3 Heidenheim 4 3 0 1 +6 9
4 Hamburg 5 3 0 2 +3 9
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 5 2 2 1 +1 8
6 Holstein Kiel 5 2 2 1 -1 8
7 St Pauli 4 2 1 1 +3 7
8 Hannover 5 2 1 2 +2 7
9 Karlsruhe 5 2 1 2 +1 7
10 Kaiserslautern 4 2 1 1 +1 7
11 Nurnberg 5 2 1 2 -1 7
12 Regensburg 5 2 1 2 -2 7
13 Sandhausen 5 2 0 3 -1 6
14 Hansa Rostock 4 2 0 2 -3 6
15 Greuther Furth 4 0 3 1 -2 3
16 Magdeburg 5 1 0 4 -8 3
17 Braunschweig 5 0 1 4 -9 1
18 Bielefeld 4 0 0 4 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hansa Rostock St Pauli
1–0 K. Pröger
D. Dressel
4′
2–0 J. Verhoek
K. Pröger
17′
Ryan Malone 🟨
25′
26′
🟨 Lukas Daschner
40′
🔁 E. Amenyido
↦ I. Matanović
Half-time 2–0
M. Schröter 🔁
↦ K. Pröger
64′
L. Hinterseer 🔁
↦ J. Verhoek
64′
71′
🔁 L. Zander
↦ M. Saliakas
71′
🔁 B. Fazliji
↦ D. Nemeth
Damian Roßbach 🟨
75′
77′
🔁 D. Otto
↦ J. Eggestein
77′
🔁 C. Boukhalfa
↦ E. Smith
H. Duljević 🔁
↦ S. Thill
80′
Lukas Fröde 🟨
88′
K. Schumacher 🔁
↦ L. Scherff
89′
J. Strauß 🔁
↦ N. Neidhart
89′
91′
🟨 Leart Paqarada
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hansa Rostock

3-1-4-2
1 M. Kolke G
16 R. Malone D
34 L. Fröde D
4 D. Roßbach D
6 D. Dressel M
7 N. Neidhart M
29 S. Thill M
8 S. Rhein M
20 L. Scherff M
19 K. Pröger F
18 J. Verhoek F
Bench (9)
11 M. Schröter
22 L. Hinterseer
10 H. Duljević
13 K. Schumacher
24 J. Strauß
23 N. Körber
25 T. Meißner
39 P. Breier
9 R. Munsy

Coach: J. Härtel

St Pauli

4-4-2
1 D. Smarsch G
2 M. Saliakas D
4 D. Nemeth D
18 J. Medić D
23 L. Paqarada D
13 L. Daschner M
7 J. Irvine M
8 E. Smith M
10 M. Hartel M
11 J. Eggestein F
34 I. Matanović F
Bench (8)
14 E. Amenyido
19 L. Zander
5 B. Fazliji
27 D. Otto
16 C. Boukhalfa
21 L. Ritzka
24 C. Metcalfe
30 S. Burchert

Coach: T. Schultz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,70
U
3,51
B
2,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,16
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Dingert · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.