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Serie B
Referee: M Ferrieri Caputi
Reggiana
S S T U T
1–1
Full-time
Ascoli
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reggiana Ascoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 23%
23%
23%
Points per game
1,2
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
46%
38%
Both score Ø 42%
46%
38%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

69% Possession 31%
18 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reggiana 14. · Ascoli 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 13 9 2 2 +15 29
2 Venezia 13 8 3 2 +8 27
3 Palermo 13 7 2 4 +8 23
4 Cremonese 13 6 4 3 +8 22
5 Modena 13 6 4 3 +1 22
6 Catanzaro 13 6 3 4 +2 21
7 Como 12 6 3 3 +2 21
8 Cosenza 13 5 4 4 +5 19
9 Cittadella 13 5 4 4 -2 19
10 Bari 13 3 9 1 +2 18
11 Sampdoria 14 5 3 6 -1 18
12 Sudtirol 12 4 4 4 +2 16
13 Pisa 13 4 4 5 -1 16
14 Reggiana 13 3 6 4 -3 15
15 Brescia 12 3 4 5 -3 13
16 Ascoli 13 3 3 7 -4 12
17 Lecco 12 3 3 6 -7 12
18 Spezia 14 1 7 6 -9 10
19 Ternana 13 1 4 8 -6 7
20 FeralpiSalo 13 1 4 8 -17 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,30
U ✓
3,11
B
3,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,31
U2,5 ✓
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Ferrieri Caputi · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.