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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Hempel
St Pauli
S U S S S
0–0
Full-time
Hannover
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Hannover
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,5
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 54%
58%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
58%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,4
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
13 Shots 2
2 Shots on target 0
6 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 1
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Pauli 1. · Hannover 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 12 7 5 0 +15 26
2 Hamburg 12 7 3 2 +11 24
3 Hannover 12 6 3 3 +11 21
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 12 6 3 3 +10 21
5 Holstein Kiel 12 6 2 4 +0 20
6 Greuther Furth 12 5 3 4 +3 18
7 Kaiserslautern 12 5 3 4 +1 18
8 Wehen 12 5 3 4 +1 18
9 Paderborn 12 5 3 4 +0 18
10 Elversberg 12 5 3 4 -1 18
11 Nurnberg 12 5 3 4 -2 18
12 Hertha 12 5 1 6 +2 16
13 Magdeburg 12 3 4 5 -1 13
14 Hansa Rostock 12 4 1 7 -6 13
15 Schalke 04 12 4 1 7 -7 13
16 Karlsruhe 12 3 3 6 -4 12
17 Osnabruck 12 1 4 7 -16 7
18 Braunschweig 12 1 2 9 -17 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Pauli Hannover
20′
🟨 Fabian Kunze
22′
🟨 Nicolò Tresoldi
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 A. Voglsammer
↦ N. Tresoldi
Elias Saad 🟨
74′
75′
🟨 Andreas Voglsammer
D. Sinani 🔁
↦ O. Afolayan
75′
76′
🔁 S. Ernst
↦ L. Schaub
80′
🔁 S. Muroya
↦ J. Dehm
Connor Metcalfe 🟨
90′
E. Amenyido 🔁
↦ J. Eggestein
91′
95′
🟨 Ron-Robert Zieler
97′
🔁 M. Christiansen
↦ E. Leopold
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

St Pauli

3-4-3
22 N. Vasilj G
5 H. Wahl D
8 E. Smith D
3 K. Mets D
2 M. Saliakas M
24 C. Metcalfe M
10 M. Hartel M
23 P. Treu M
17 O. Afolayan F
11 J. Eggestein F
26 E. Saad F
Bench (9)
15 D. Sinani
14 E. Amenyido
16 C. Boukhalfa
30 S. Burchert
4 D. Nemeth
6 S. Zoller
21 L. Ritzka
19 A. Albers
25 A. Dźwigała

Coach: F. Hürzeler

Hannover

4-3-1-2
1 R. Zieler G
20 J. Dehm D
5 P. Neumann D
23 M. Halstenberg D
4 B. Arrey-Mbi D
6 F. Kunze M
8 E. Leopold M
18 D. Köhn M
16 H. Nielsen M
11 L. Schaub F
9 N. Tresoldi F
Bench (9)
32 A. Voglsammer
10 S. Ernst
21 S. Muroya
13 M. Christiansen
29 K. Oudenne
34 Y. Lührs
30 L. Weinkauf
24 A. Fóti
40 C. Scott

Coach: S. Leitl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,63
U ✓
4,02
B
5,04
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,72
U2,5 ✓
2,08
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Hempel · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.