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Bundesliga
Referee: J Semler
LASK
T U S S T
1–0
Full-time
Tirol
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

LASK Tirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 32%
50%
14%
Points per game
1,8
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
29%
50%
Both score Ø 47%
43%
50%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
0,9
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
10 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 11
4 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match LASK 3. · Tirol 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 14 9 3 2 +21 30
2 Sturm Graz 14 9 3 2 +13 30
3 LASK 14 7 4 3 +7 25
4 Hartberg 14 7 4 3 +6 25
5 A. Klagenfurt 14 5 6 3 -1 21
6 Wolfsberger AC 14 5 5 4 +1 20
7 Austria Vienna 14 5 4 5 +1 19
8 SK Rapid 14 4 6 4 +11 18
9 BW Linz 14 4 4 6 -9 16
10 Altach 14 3 4 7 -12 13
11 Tirol 14 2 2 10 -13 8
12 A. Lustenau 14 0 3 11 -25 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Aug -23 Tirol – LASK 1–1 5. Mar -23 Tirol – LASK 2–3 17. Sep -22 LASK – Tirol 1–4 23. May -22 Tirol – LASK 2–1 26. Apr -22 Tirol – LASK 4–0

Match report

LASK Tirol
4′
🟨 Osarenren Okungbowa
1–0 R. Žulj ⚽
I. Ljubic
14′
28′
🟨 Luca Kronberger
Half-time 1–0
Philipp Ziereis 🟨
55′
59′
🔁 B. Blume
↦ C. Üstündag
I. Mustapha 🔁
↦ M. Ljubičić
71′
T. Goiginger 🔁
↦ M. Usor
71′
F. Flecker 🔁
↦ F. Stojković
71′
71′
🔁 S. Ogrinec
↦ J. Ertlthaler
71′
🔁 A. Buksa
↦ N. Prelec
P. Michorl 🔁
↦ B. Jovičić
76′
87′
🔁 A. Ranacher
↦ L. Kronberger
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

LASK

3-4-3
1 T. Lawal G
5 P. Ziereis D
16 A. Andrade D
4 M. Talovierov D
22 F. Stojković M
21 I. Ljubic M
18 B. Jovičić M
2 G. Bello M
9 M. Ljubičić F
10 R. Žulj F
17 M. Usor F
Bench (7)
23 I. Mustapha
27 T. Goiginger
29 F. Flecker
8 P. Michorl
19 L. Pintor
28 J. Siebenhandl
33 F. Luckeneder

Coach: T. Sageder

Tirol

4-3-2-1
40 A. Stejskal G
6 L. Sulzbacher D
5 F. Bacher D
22 O. Okungbowa D
44 K. Schulz D
30 M. Taferner M
20 C. Üstündag M
77 J. Ertlthaler M
9 N. Prelec M
7 L. Kronberger M
8 M. Diarra F
Bench (7)
10 B. Blume
98 S. Ogrinec
11 A. Buksa
14 A. Ranacher
13 B. Ozegovic
3 D. Gugganig
23 S. Škrbo

Coach: T. Silberberger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Semler · 29 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.