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2. Bundesliga

Referee: M Burda

St Pauli

S S S S U

2–1

Full-time

Karlsruhe

U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Karlsruhe

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

4,2

3,3

Scored

3,0

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 40%

50%

30%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

60%

50%

Both score Ø 65%

70%

60%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

2,0

1,6

Conceded

0,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

20 Shots 6

9 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

7 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Pauli 2. · Karlsruhe 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	6	3	2	+12	21
2	St Pauli	10	5	5	0	+12	20
3	Hamburg	10	6	2	2	+9	20
4	Holstein Kiel	10	6	1	3	+2	19
5	Hannover	10	5	3	2	+10	18
6	Kaiserslautern	10	5	2	3	+3	17
7	Greuther Furth	11	4	3	4	+1	15
8	Elversberg	10	4	3	3	+0	15
9	Paderborn	10	4	3	3	-1	15
10	Nurnberg	10	4	3	3	-3	15
11	Magdeburg	10	3	4	3	+2	13
12	Hertha	10	4	0	6	+0	12
13	Karlsruhe	10	3	3	4	+0	12
14	Wehen	10	3	3	4	-2	12
15	Hansa Rostock	10	4	0	6	-5	12
16	Schalke 04	10	2	1	7	-9	7
17	Osnabruck	11	1	3	7	-16	6
18	Braunschweig	11	1	2	8	-15	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	Greuther Furth	6	4	1	1	+9	13
3	Kaiserslautern	5	4	0	1	+6	12
4	St Pauli	5	3	2	0	+10	11
5	Nurnberg	5	3	2	0	+4	11
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	3	2	1	+3	11
7	Hannover	5	3	1	1	+9	10
8	Hansa Rostock	6	3	0	3	-1	9
9	Magdeburg	4	2	2	0	+3	8
10	Karlsruhe	5	2	2	1	+3	8
11	Paderborn	5	2	2	1	+2	8
12	Holstein Kiel	5	2	1	2	-1	7
13	Elversberg	5	2	1	2	-2	7
14	Hertha	4	2	0	2	+6	6
15	Schalke 04	4	2	0	2	+1	6
16	Wehen	5	1	3	1	-1	6
17	Braunschweig	6	1	2	3	-5	5
18	Osnabruck	6	1	1	4	-4	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	5	4	0	1	+3	12
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	3	1	1	+9	10
3	St Pauli	5	2	3	0	+2	9
4	Elversberg	5	2	2	1	+2	8
5	Hannover	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Paderborn	5	2	1	2	-3	7
7	Wehen	5	2	0	3	-1	6
8	Hertha	6	2	0	4	-6	6
9	Magdeburg	6	1	2	3	-1	5
10	Hamburg	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Kaiserslautern	5	1	2	2	-3	5
12	Karlsruhe	5	1	1	3	-3	4
13	Nurnberg	5	1	1	3	-7	4
14	Hansa Rostock	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Greuther Furth	5	0	2	3	-8	2
16	Osnabruck	5	0	2	3	-12	2
17	Schalke 04	6	0	1	5	-10	1
18	Braunschweig	5	0	0	5	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.