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2. Bundesliga
Referee: B Brand
St Pauli
U S S S S
1–0
Full-time
Hansa Rostock
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Hansa Rostock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,7
0,5
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
48%
33%
Both score Ø 39%
48%
29%
Average goals
2,6
2,2
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
16 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Pauli 8. · Hansa Rostock 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 22 14 7 1 +20 49
2 Hamburg 22 14 3 5 +15 45
3 Heidenheim 21 11 7 3 +18 40
4 Paderborn 22 12 3 7 +19 39
5 Kaiserslautern 22 10 8 4 +9 38
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 22 11 2 9 +7 35
7 Holstein Kiel 22 8 8 6 +2 32
8 St Pauli 21 7 8 6 +3 29
9 Hannover 21 8 5 8 +2 29
10 Karlsruhe 22 8 4 10 +0 28
11 Greuther Furth 22 6 8 8 -6 26
12 Nurnberg 22 7 4 11 -14 25
13 Hansa Rostock 21 7 3 11 -10 24
14 Braunschweig 22 5 6 11 -12 21
15 Magdeburg 21 6 3 12 -14 21
16 Bielefeld 21 6 2 13 -6 20
17 Regensburg 22 5 5 12 -16 20
18 Sandhausen 22 5 4 13 -17 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Pauli Hansa Rostock
1–0 J. Irvine
O. Afolayan
26′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Rhein
↦ L. Fröde
46′
🔁 N. Fröling
↦ H. Duljević
46′
🔁 S. Ingelsson
↦ R. Malone
D. Otto 🔁
↦ C. Metcalfe
55′
60′
🟨 Kevin Schumacher
Karol Mets 🟨
63′
63′
🟨 John Verhoek
71′
🟨 Dennis Dressel
73′
🔁 M. Schröter
↦ K. Pröger
80′
🟨 Svante Ingelsson
Maurides 🔁
↦ O. Afolayan
81′
85′
🔁 R. Munsy
↦ F. Ananou
B. Fazliji 🔁
↦ L. Daschner
91′
Manolis Saliakas 🟨
92′
93′
🟨 Rick Van Drongelen
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

St Pauli

3-4-2-1
22 N. Vasilj G
8 E. Smith D
18 J. Medić D
3 K. Mets D
2 M. Saliakas M
7 J. Irvine M
10 M. Hartel M
23 L. Paqarada M
24 C. Metcalfe F
17 O. Afolayan F
13 L. Daschner F
Bench (9)
27 D. Otto
9 Maurides
5 B. Fazliji
21 L. Ritzka
11 J. Eggestein
32 J. Wieckhoff
30 S. Burchert
16 C. Boukhalfa
25 A. Dźwigała

Coach: F. Hürzeler

Hansa Rostock

3-4-2-1
1 M. Kolke G
16 R. Malone D
5 R. van Drongelen D
4 D. Roßbach D
27 F. Ananou M
34 L. Fröde M
6 D. Dressel M
13 K. Schumacher M
19 K. Pröger F
10 H. Duljević F
18 J. Verhoek F
Bench (9)
8 S. Rhein
15 N. Fröling
14 S. Ingelsson
11 M. Schröter
9 R. Munsy
17 Lee Dong-Gyeong
23 N. Körber
7 N. Neidhart
25 T. Meißner

Coach: P. Glöckner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,76
U
3,62
B
4,65
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Brand · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.