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Ligue 1
Referee: B Millot
Clermont
U S T U S
0–3
Full-time
Lens
U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Clermont Lens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,3
1,3
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
0,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 11/12 matches
Win Ø 26%
18%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
36%
42%
Both score Ø 39%
36%
42%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,91 xG 2,27
48% Possession 52%
13 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 10
3 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 4
16 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Clermont 17. · Lens 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 13 9 3 1 +23 +15.2 30
2 Nice 12 7 5 0 +9 +8.1 26
3 Monaco 13 7 3 3 +8 +4.5 24
4 Lille 12 5 5 2 +4 +6.2 20
5 Reims 12 6 2 4 +2 +2.3 20
6 Lens 12 4 4 4 +0 +3.6 16
7 Le Havre 12 3 6 3 -1 -5.7 15
8 Brest 11 4 3 4 -2 +1.1 15
9 Nantes 12 4 2 6 -6 -6.2 14
10 Montpellier 11 3 4 4 +1 +2.7 13
11 Marseille 11 3 4 4 -1 +8.0 13
12 Metz 12 3 4 5 -6 -9.8 13
13 Rennes 12 2 6 4 +0 +3.3 12
14 Toulouse 12 2 6 4 -3 -10.7 12
15 Strasbourg 11 3 3 5 -6 -3.1 12
16 Lorient 12 2 5 5 -6 -8.2 11
17 Clermont 11 2 3 6 -6 -5.4 9
18 Lyon 11 1 4 6 -10 -6.0 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Clermont Lens
11′
E. Wahi 0–1
R. Aguilar
Grejohn Kyei 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–1
F. Ogier 🔁
↦ E. Rashani
46′
46′
🔁 M. Guilavogui
↦ A. Fulgini
47′
🟨 Elye Wahi
Alidu Seidu 🟥
48′
48′
🟨 Elye Wahi
48′
🟥 Elye Wahi
50′
A. Thomasson 0–2
M. Gonalons 🔁
↦ Y. Magnin
65′
B. Boutobba 🔁
↦ H. Keïta
66′
S. Nicholson 🔁
↦ G. Kyei
66′
66′
🔁 N. Mendy
↦ S. Abdul Samed
67′
🔁 F. Sotoca
↦ A. Thomasson
Maxime Gonalons 🟨
68′
70′
🟨 Abdukodir Khusanov
76′
🔁 W. Saïd
↦ M. Guilavogui
82′
W. Saïd 0–3
F. Sotoca
85′
🔁 A. Diouf
↦ N. El Aynaoui
M. Zeffane 🔁
↦ C. Konaté
86′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Clermont

3-4-2-1
99 M. Diaw G
17 A. Pelmard D
36 A. Seidu D
5 M. Caufriez D
15 C. Konaté M
6 H. Keïta M
7 Y. Magnin M
3 Neto Borges M
10 M. Cham F
18 E. Rashani F
95 G. Kyei F
Bench (9)
21 F. Ogier
12 M. Gonalons
8 B. Boutobba
23 S. Nicholson
2 M. Zeffane
9 K. Andrić
1 M. Ndiaye
11 J. Allevinah
24 S. Berkani

Coach: P. Gastien

Lens

3-4-2-1
30 B. Samba G
24 J. Gradit D
25 A. Khusanov D
14 F. Medina D
2 R. Aguilar M
23 N. El Aynaoui M
6 S. Abdul Samed M
29 P. Frankowski M
28 A. Thomasson F
11 A. Fulgini F
9 E. Wahi F
Bench (9)
27 M. Guilavogui
26 N. Mendy
7 F. Sotoca
22 W. Saïd
18 A. Diouf
20 F. Maouassa
10 David Pereira da Costa
21 M. Haïdara
16 J. Leca

Coach: F. Haise

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,81
U
3,50
B ✓
2,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,05
U2,5
1,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Millot · 146 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.