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Ligue 2
Referee: F Benchabane
St Etienne
S S T T S
1–2
Full-time
Pau FC
U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Pau FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 14/13 matches
Win Ø 44%
50%
38%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
29%
69%
Both score Ø 41%
36%
46%
Average goals
1,9
3,6
Scored
1,1
1,8
Conceded
0,9
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
14 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 5. · Pau FC 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 14 9 2 3 +6 29
2 Angers 14 8 3 3 +9 27
3 Auxerre 14 7 4 3 +14 25
4 Grenoble 14 6 6 2 +4 24
5 St Etienne 14 7 3 4 +3 24
6 Ajaccio 14 6 5 3 +3 23
7 Guingamp 14 5 6 3 +7 21
8 Rodez 14 5 5 4 +2 20
9 Pau FC 13 5 4 4 -1 19
10 Amiens 14 5 4 5 -3 19
11 Concarneau 13 5 3 5 -2 18
12 Paris FC 14 5 2 7 -2 17
13 Caen 14 4 4 6 +2 16
14 Bastia 14 4 4 6 -5 16
15 Bordeaux 14 4 4 6 -6 16
16 Annecy 14 3 6 5 -5 15
17 Troyes 14 2 7 5 -2 13
18 Dunkerque 14 3 3 8 -9 12
19 Quevilly Rouen 14 2 5 7 -4 11
20 Valenciennes 14 1 6 7 -11 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Etienne Pau FC
1–0 G. Charbonnier
9′
14′
🟨 Ousmane Kanté
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. D'Almeida
↦ O. Ngom
Benjamin Bouchouari 🟨
54′
62′
🟨 Moussa Sylla
68′
🔁 K. Boutaïb
↦ M. Chahiri
V. Lobry 🔁
↦ D. Chambost
69′
M. Cafaro 🔁
↦ A. Moueffek
69′
69′
🔁 C. Boli
↦ M. Bassouamina
69′
🔁 Y. Njoh
↦ S. Beusnard
75′
H. Saivet 1–1
78′
S. D'Almeida 1–2
L. Fomba 🔁
↦ B. Bouchouari
79′
K. Cissé 🔁
↦ G. Charbonnier
79′
82′
🔁 A. Batisse
↦ J. Obiang
Florian Tardieu 🟨
90′
Anthony Briançon 🟨
91′
91′
🟨 Sessi D'Almeida
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

St Etienne

4-4-2
42 E. Green G
8 D. Appiah D
23 A. Briançon D
3 M. Nadé D
19 L. Pétrot D
29 A. Moueffek M
6 B. Bouchouari M
5 F. Tardieu M
14 D. Chambost M
10 G. Charbonnier F
9 I. Sissoko F
Bench (7)
22 V. Lobry
18 M. Cafaro
26 L. Fomba
32 K. Cissé
48 B. Djile
43 B. Owusu
1 M. Dreyer

Coach: L. Batlles

Pau FC

4-4-2
1 B. Kamara G
24 K. Boto D
4 X. Kouassi D
19 O. Kanté D
23 J. Obiang D
7 M. Sylla M
18 O. Ngom M
21 S. Beusnard M
11 M. Bassouamina M
8 H. Saivet F
99 M. Chahiri F
Bench (7)
6 S. D'Almeida
10 K. Boutaïb
70 C. Boli
30 Y. Njoh
17 A. Batisse
28 L. Pirringuel
40 M. Jeannin

Coach: N. Usaï

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,64
U
3,94
B ✓
4,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,78
U2,5
2,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Benchabane · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.