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Bundesliga
Referee: A Untergasser
Salzburg
T S S T U
3–2
Full-time
Hartberg
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Hartberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 57%
64%
50%
Points per game
2,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
50%
71%
Both score Ø 36%
29%
43%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
2,1
1,7
Conceded
0,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%
11 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salzburg 1. · Hartberg 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 14 9 3 2 +21 30
2 Sturm Graz 14 9 3 2 +13 30
3 LASK 14 7 4 3 +7 25
4 Hartberg 14 7 4 3 +6 25
5 A. Klagenfurt 14 5 6 3 -1 21
6 Wolfsberger AC 14 5 5 4 +1 20
7 Austria Vienna 14 5 4 5 +1 19
8 SK Rapid 14 4 6 4 +11 18
9 BW Linz 14 4 4 6 -9 16
10 Altach 14 3 4 7 -12 13
11 Tirol 14 2 2 10 -13 8
12 A. Lustenau 14 0 3 11 -25 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Aug -23 Hartberg – Salzburg 1–5 29. Oct -22 Salzburg – Hartberg 1–0 6. Aug -22 Hartberg – Salzburg 0–2 4. Dec -21 Salzburg – Hartberg 2–1 28. Aug -21 Hartberg – Salzburg 0–1

Match report

Salzburg Hartberg
11′
⚽ I. Bowat 0–1
D. Prokop
Mads Bidstrup 🟨
14′
34′
🔁 D. Frieser
↦ D. Avdijaj
Half-time 1–1
1–1 O. Gloukh ⚽
48′
2–1 P. Ratkov ⚽
O. Gloukh
49′
Amar Dedić 🟨
51′
56′
⚽ O. Diakité 2–2
C. Lang
N. Dorgeles 🔁
↦ K. Konaté
57′
64′
🟨 Maximilian Entrup
N. Capaldo 🔁
↦ L. Morgalla
73′
L. Gourna-Douath 🔁
↦ O. Gloukh
73′
R. Šimić 🔁
↦ P. Ratkov
73′
80′
🔁 R. Providence
↦ D. Prokop
M. Diambou 🔁
↦ M. Bidstrup
84′
3–2 N. Dorgeles ⚽
D. Guindo
85′
89′
🔁 J. Halwachs
↦ O. Diakité
92′
🟨 Mamadou Sangare
Strahinja Pavlović 🟨
93′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-3-1-2
24 A. Schlager G
39 L. Morgalla D
70 A. Dedić D
31 S. Pavlović D
29 D. Guindo D
10 L. Sučić M
18 M. Bidstrup M
32 A. Forson M
30 O. Gloukh M
19 K. Konaté F
21 P. Ratkov F
Bench (7)
45 N. Dorgeles
7 N. Capaldo
27 L. Gourna-Douath
23 R. Šimić
15 M. Diambou
4 K. Piątkowski
1 N. Mantl

Coach: G. Struber

Hartberg

4-3-3
1 R. Sallinger G
28 J. Heil D
14 P. Komposch D
5 I. Bowat D
20 M. Pfeifer D
27 D. Prokop M
32 O. Diakité M
45 M. Sangaré M
26 C. Lang F
11 M. Entrup F
10 D. Avdijaj F
Bench (7)
33 D. Frieser
70 R. Providence
25 J. Halwachs
39 T. Knoflach
23 T. Kainz
3 A. Brückner
12 M. Steinwender

Coach: M. Schopp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.