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LaLiga2
Referee: Luis Milla
Santander
T U T T S
2–0
Full-time
Villarreal B
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santander Villarreal B
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
4,3
2,2
Scored
2,2
0,5
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 35%
44%
25%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
63%
63%
Both score Ø 60%
63%
56%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
10 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Santander 7. · Villarreal B 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 16 11 2 3 +19 35
2 Valladolid 17 10 2 5 +4 32
3 Sp Gijon 16 8 5 3 +10 29
4 Espanol 16 8 4 4 +10 28
5 Eibar 16 8 3 5 +7 27
6 Ferrol 16 7 6 3 +3 27
7 Santander 16 7 3 6 +3 24
8 Levante 16 6 6 4 +1 24
9 Eldense 16 6 5 5 +0 23
10 Tenerife 16 7 2 7 -1 23
11 Elche 16 6 5 5 -3 23
12 Oviedo 16 5 7 4 +5 22
13 Zaragoza 16 6 4 6 +0 22
14 Burgos 16 6 3 7 -2 21
15 Mirandes 16 5 4 7 -2 19
16 Albacete 16 4 6 6 -6 18
17 Villarreal B 16 4 5 7 -5 17
18 Andorra 16 5 2 9 -7 17
19 Huesca 17 3 7 7 -4 16
20 Amorebieta 16 3 5 8 -8 14
21 Alcorcon 16 3 5 8 -11 14
22 Cartagena 16 1 5 10 -13 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santander Villarreal B
Alvaro Mantilla 🟨
8′
1–0 L. Junior
23′
Saúl García 🟨
30′
45′
🟨 Carlo Adriano García
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Rodri Alonso
↦ Carlo Adriano
46′
🔁 T. Geralnik
↦ Javi Ontiveros
46′
🔁 Reque
↦ S. Leković
57′
🟨 Tiago Geralnik
Marco Sangalli 🔁
↦ L. Junior
60′
66′
🔁 A. Ferrari
↦ Álex Forés
2–0 Peque Fernández
71′
72′
🟨 Pablo Íñiguez
76′
🟨 Andrés Ferrari
C. Grenier 🔁
↦ Peque Fernández
77′
Yeray Cabanzón 🔁
↦ Iñigo Vicente
85′
85′
🔁 Marcos Sánchez
↦ Dani Tasende
Ekain Zenitagoia 🔁
↦ Juan Carlos Arana
86′
Iván Morante 🔁
↦ Aritz Aldasoro
86′
Yeray Cabanzon 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Santander

4-2-3-1
13 Jokin Ezkieta G
2 Álvaro Mantilla D
4 Pol Moreno D
15 Rubén Alves D
3 Saúl García D
6 Íñigo Sainz-Maza M
21 Aritz Aldasoro M
20 L. Junior M
17 Peque Fernández M
10 Iñigo Vicente M
9 Juan Carlos Arana F
Bench (12)
7 Marco Sangalli
19 C. Grenier
27 Yeray Cabanzón
14 Ekain Zenitagoia
16 Iván Morante
23 Dani Fernández
22 Juan Gutiérrez
1 Miquel Parera
40 Mario García
38 Neco Celorio
8 Jorge Pombo
32 Diego Campo

Coach: José Alberto López

Villarreal B

4-4-2
1 Iker Álvarez G
29 Espigares D
12 S. Leković D
19 Pablo Íñiguez D
3 Dani Tasende D
16 Lanchi M
14 Aitor Gelardo M
8 Carlo Adriano M
10 Javi Ontiveros M
7 Diego Collado F
9 Álex Forés F
Bench (9)
21 Rodri Alonso
22 T. Geralnik
27 Reque
24 A. Ferrari
15 Marcos Sánchez
33 Pau Navarro
13 Miguel Ángel Morro
23 Víctor Moreno
17 Fabio Blanco

Coach: Miguel Álvarez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,71
U
3,87
B
4,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,77
U2,5 ✓
2,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Luis Milla · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.