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La Liga

Referee: José Luis Munuera Montero

Vallecano

S U S U T

1–1

Full-time

Barcelona

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 50%

31%

69%

Points per game

1,4

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

38%

62%

Both score Ø 46%

38%

54%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,74 xG 1,04

33% Possession 67%

10 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

23 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vallecano 10. · Barcelona 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Girona	13	11	1	1	+15	+8.5	34
2	Real Madrid	13	10	2	1	+19	+11.1	32
3	Barcelona	13	9	3	1	+13	+13.9	30
4	Ath Madrid	12	9	1	2	+17	+12.4	28
5	Ath Bilbao	13	7	3	3	+8	+8.6	24
6	Sociedad	13	6	4	3	+7	+1.6	22
7	Betis	13	5	6	2	+1	+0.6	21
8	Las Palmas	13	5	3	5	-1	-3.5	18
9	Valencia	13	5	3	5	-2	+1.7	18
10	Vallecano	13	4	6	3	-2	-4.8	18
11	Getafe	13	3	7	3	-2	-3.5	16
12	Alaves	14	4	3	7	-5	+1.1	15
13	Osasuna	13	4	2	7	-6	-4.2	14
14	Sevilla	12	2	6	4	+1	-5.2	12
15	Villarreal	13	3	3	7	-6	-6.8	12
16	Cadiz	12	2	4	6	-7	-7.3	10
17	Mallorca	12	1	6	5	-6	-4.2	9
18	Celta	13	1	4	8	-10	-3.4	7
19	Granada	14	1	4	9	-14	-10.6	7
20	Almeria	13	0	3	10	-20	-6.1	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	6	0	1	+10	+6.6	18
2	Ath Madrid	6	6	0	0	+9	+8.6	18
3	Real Madrid	6	5	1	0	+12	+9.0	16
4	Girona	6	5	0	1	+7	+2.6	15
5	Ath Bilbao	7	4	2	1	+7	+8.0	14
6	Betis	6	4	2	0	+7	+5.0	14
7	Sociedad	7	4	2	1	+6	+0.2	14
8	Alaves	7	4	1	2	+1	+3.5	13
9	Valencia	6	4	0	2	+5	+4.8	12
10	Getafe	6	3	3	0	+3	+1.7	12
11	Las Palmas	6	3	2	1	+2	-0.9	11
12	Sevilla	7	2	3	2	+3	-1.1	9
13	Cadiz	6	2	3	1	+2	+2.8	9
14	Granada	7	1	3	3	-4	-4.7	6
15	Vallecano	6	1	3	2	-6	-4.4	6
16	Osasuna	7	1	2	4	-5	-0.2	5
17	Mallorca	5	0	4	1	-1	-2.2	4
18	Villarreal	7	1	1	5	-4	-2.5	4
19	Celta	7	0	3	4	-7	+0.6	3
20	Almeria	7	0	2	5	-8	-0.4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Girona	7	6	1	0	+8	+5.9	19
2	Real Madrid	7	5	1	1	+7	+2.1	16
3	Vallecano	7	3	3	1	+4	-0.4	12
4	Barcelona	6	3	3	0	+3	+7.3	12
5	Ath Madrid	6	3	1	2	+8	+3.9	10
6	Ath Bilbao	6	3	1	2	+1	+0.6	10
7	Osasuna	6	3	0	3	-1	-4.0	9
8	Sociedad	6	2	2	2	+1	+1.3	8
9	Villarreal	6	2	2	2	-2	-4.3	8
10	Las Palmas	7	2	1	4	-3	-2.6	7
11	Betis	7	1	4	2	-6	-4.4	7
12	Valencia	7	1	3	3	-7	-3.1	6
13	Mallorca	7	1	2	4	-5	-2.0	5
14	Celta	6	1	1	4	-3	-4.0	4
15	Getafe	7	0	4	3	-5	-5.2	4
16	Sevilla	5	0	3	2	-2	-4.1	3
17	Alaves	7	0	2	5	-6	-2.4	2
18	Cadiz	6	0	1	5	-9	-10.0	1
19	Granada	7	0	1	6	-10	-5.9	1
20	Almeria	6	0	1	5	-12	-5.7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.