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Super League

Referee: M Turkes

Yverdon

T T U T U

0–5

Full-time

Lugano

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Yverdon Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 14/13 matches

Win Ø 34%

29%

38%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

64%

77%

Both score Ø 71%

79%

62%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

1,4

1,6

Conceded

1,9

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,83 xG 2,19

46% Possession 54%

8 Shots 18

1 Shots on target 8

4 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

0 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Yverdon 6. · Lugano 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	15	8	6	1	+16	-0.6	30
2	Young Boys	14	8	4	2	+17	+0.8	28
3	St. Gallen	14	8	3	3	+12	+7.4	27
4	Servette	14	7	4	3	+6	+6.7	25
5	Luzern	15	7	3	5	-3	+1.4	24
6	Yverdon	14	4	5	5	-6	-4.2	17
7	Lausanne	14	4	4	6	+0	+1.9	16
8	Lugano	13	5	1	7	-3	+3.4	16
9	Winterthur	15	4	4	7	-8	-1.0	16
10	Grasshoppers	14	4	2	8	-3	-3.1	14
11	Lausanne Ouchy	13	2	4	7	-14	-4.9	10
12	Basel	13	2	2	9	-14	-7.9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	7	7	0	0	+12	+2.6	21
2	Luzern	8	6	1	1	+6	+3.6	19
3	Zurich	8	5	2	1	+7	-1.4	17
4	Young Boys	6	5	1	0	+15	+2.3	16
5	Servette	7	3	3	1	+5	+1.7	12
6	Yverdon	7	3	3	1	+2	+0.2	12
7	Lausanne	7	3	2	2	+3	+1.9	11
8	Winterthur	7	3	2	2	+0	+1.3	11
9	Lugano	6	3	1	2	+3	+2.3	10
10	Grasshoppers	7	3	1	3	+2	-1.5	10
11	Basel	7	2	2	3	-1	-3.8	8
12	Lausanne Ouchy	7	1	3	3	-8	-1.7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	7	3	4	0	+9	+0.8	13
2	Servette	7	4	1	2	+1	+5.0	13
3	Young Boys	8	3	3	2	+2	-1.5	12
4	St. Gallen	7	1	3	3	+0	+4.8	6
5	Lugano	7	2	0	5	-6	+1.1	6
6	Lausanne	7	1	2	4	-3	+0.0	5
7	Winterthur	8	1	2	5	-8	-2.3	5
8	Yverdon	7	1	2	4	-8	-4.4	5
9	Luzern	7	1	2	4	-9	-2.2	5
10	Grasshoppers	7	1	1	5	-5	-1.6	4
11	Lausanne Ouchy	6	1	1	4	-6	-3.2	4
12	Basel	6	0	0	6	-13	-4.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.