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Premiership
Referee: S McLean
Celtic
U S S T S
1–1
Full-time
Motherwell
U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 54%
85%
23%
Points per game
2,7
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
77%
54%
Both score Ø 54%
46%
62%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
2,6
1,2
Conceded
0,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
+2,1
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

81% Possession 19%
20 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
13 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celtic 1. · Motherwell 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 13 11 2 0 +27 35
2 Rangers 12 9 0 3 +20 27
3 St Mirren 12 5 4 3 +0 19
4 Hearts 12 5 2 5 +0 17
5 Dundee 12 4 5 3 -1 17
6 Kilmarnock 13 4 4 5 +0 16
7 Hibernian 13 3 6 4 -2 15
8 Motherwell 13 3 3 7 -6 12
9 Aberdeen 11 3 3 5 -6 12
10 ST Johnstone 12 2 5 5 -10 11
11 Ross County 12 2 4 6 -10 10
12 Livingston 13 2 4 7 -12 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celtic Motherwell
14′
🟨 Callum Slattery
41′
🟨 Stephen O'Donnell
Half-time 0–0
Oh Hyeon-Gyu 🔁
↦ O. Holm
46′
64′
🟨 Bevis Mugabi
M. Johnston 🔁
↦ L. Palma
67′
D. Turnbull 🔁
↦ K. Furuhashi
67′
Greg Taylor 🟨
70′
78′
🔁 J. Obika
↦ M. Biereth
Michael Johnston ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
83′
85′
🟨 Calum Butcher
1–0 D. Turnbull
86′
89′
🔁 C. Wilkinson
↦ C. Butcher
89′
🔁 T. Bair
↦ C. Slattery
90′
J. Obika 1–1
B. Spittal
M. Tilio 🔁
↦ Yang Hyun-Jun
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
56 A. Ralston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
5 L. Scales D
3 G. Taylor D
33 M. O'Riley M
42 C. McGregor M
15 O. Holm M
13 Yang Hyun-Jun F
8 K. Furuhashi F
7 L. Palma F
Bench (9)
19 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
90 M. Johnston
14 D. Turnbull
23 M. Tilio
25 A. Bernabéi
6 N. Phillips
28 Paulo Bernardo
29 S. Bain
2 A. Johnston

Coach: B. Rodgers

Motherwell

5-3-2
1 L. Kelly G
2 S. O'Donnell D
15 D. Casey D
5 B. Mugabi D
20 S. Blaney D
22 B. Spencer D
8 C. Slattery M
66 C. Butcher M
12 H. Paton M
24 M. Biereth F
7 B. Spittal F
Bench (9)
9 J. Obika
99 C. Wilkinson
14 T. Bair
18 O. Shaw
13 A. Oxborough
17 D. Zdravkovski
3 G. Gent
39 L. Ross
42 M. Ross

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,13
U ✓
8,44
B
17,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,37
U2,5 ✓
3,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S McLean · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.