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Eredivisie
Referee: J Manschot
Heerenveen
T S S T S
3–0
Full-time
For Sittard
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen For Sittard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 29%
33%
25%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
75%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
58%
42%
Average goals
3,6
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,87 xG 0,51
56% Possession 44%
16 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 7
3 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heerenveen 10. · For Sittard 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 12 12 0 0 +40 +28.6 36
2 Feyenoord 13 10 2 1 +29 +27.6 32
3 Twente 12 8 3 1 +14 +9.3 27
4 AZ Alkmaar 11 8 2 1 +20 +9.2 26
5 Go Ahead Eagles 12 6 3 3 +7 -6.8 21
6 Sparta Rotterdam 12 5 3 4 +1 -2.6 18
7 Excelsior 13 3 6 4 -3 -4.2 15
8 Zwolle 12 4 2 6 -7 -4.1 14
9 For Sittard 12 3 4 5 -8 -1.0 13
10 Heerenveen 12 4 1 7 -9 -4.2 13
11 Almere City 12 3 4 5 -10 -3.5 13
12 Ajax 11 3 3 5 -3 -2.7 12
13 Heracles 12 3 3 6 -17 -10.4 12
14 Nijmegen 11 2 5 4 -2 -8.1 11
15 Utrecht 12 2 3 7 -12 -10.1 9
16 Waalwijk 11 3 0 8 -12 -5.3 9
17 Volendam 12 2 2 8 -13 -4.1 8
18 Vitesse 12 2 2 8 -15 -7.6 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heerenveen For Sittard
Pelle van Amersfoort 🟨
13′
31′
🟨 Rodrigo Guth
45′
🟨 Iñigo Cordoba
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Deroy Duarte
↦ M. Robberechts
1–0 T. Haye
49′
2–0 T. Haye
62′
68′
🔁 M. Belkheir
↦ T. Noslin
I. Nicolăescu 🔁
↦ P. van Amersfoort
72′
P. Wålemark 🔁
↦ C. Nunnely
73′
A. Tahiri 🔁
↦ O. Sahraoui
73′
78′
🔁 I. Griffith
↦ D. Siovas
78′
🔁 M. Lazetić
↦ K. Sierhuis
78′
🔁 R. Oratmangoen
↦ L. Rosier
E. van Ee 🔁
↦ L. Brouwers
88′
3–0 I. Nicolăescu
88′
D. Nunumete 🔁
↦ S. van Ottele
92′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Heerenveen

4-2-3-1
44 A. Noppert G
45 O. Braude D
4 S. van Beek D
6 S. van Ottele D
7 M. Köhlert D
33 T. Haye M
19 S. Olsson M
17 C. Nunnely M
28 L. Brouwers M
20 O. Sahraoui M
11 P. van Amersfoort F
Bench (10)
18 I. Nicolăescu
24 P. Wålemark
26 A. Tahiri
40 E. van Ee
21 D. Nunumete
13 M. van der Hart
15 Hussein Ali Haidar
14 C. Webster
22 B. Klaverboer
2 D. Hall

Coach: K. van Wonderen

For Sittard

3-4-2-1
31 I. Pandur G
14 Rodrigo Guth D
33 D. Siovas D
35 M. Dijks D
12 Ivo Pinto M
10 A. Halilović M
32 L. Rosier M
7 Iñigo Córdoba M
39 M. Robberechts F
77 T. Noslin F
9 K. Sierhuis F
Bench (11)
6 Deroy Duarte
20 M. Belkheir
17 I. Griffith
11 M. Lazetić
34 R. Oratmangoen
3 S. Fofana
61 R. Vita
2 S. Voet
1 L. Koopmans
22 T. Hendriks
24 N. Markelo

Coach: D. Buijs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,04
U
3,56
B
3,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Manschot · 135 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.