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2. Bundesliga
St Pauli
T S S S S
4–0
Full-time
Hansa Rostock
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Hansa Rostock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
2,7
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 50%
70%
30%
Points per game
2,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
70%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,6
Scored
2,3
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

17 Shots 5
10 Shots on target 1
6 Corners 0
6 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Pauli 1. · Hansa Rostock 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 10 7 1 2 +13 22
2 Schalke 04 11 7 1 3 +9 22
3 Nurnberg 11 5 6 0 +9 21
4 Regensburg 10 5 4 1 +10 19
5 Paderborn 11 5 3 3 +9 18
6 Hamburg 11 4 6 1 +5 18
7 Darmstadt 11 5 2 4 +11 17
8 Karlsruhe 11 4 4 3 +2 16
9 Fortuna Dusseldorf 11 4 3 4 +0 15
10 Heidenheim 11 4 3 4 -5 15
11 Werder Bremen 10 4 2 4 -1 14
12 Dresden 11 4 1 6 -2 13
13 Hansa Rostock 10 3 2 5 -4 11
14 Hannover 10 3 2 5 -6 11
15 Holstein Kiel 11 2 4 5 -10 10
16 Sandhausen 10 2 2 6 -12 8
17 Erzgebirge Aue 11 1 4 6 -10 7
18 Ingolstadt 11 1 2 8 -18 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,54
U
4,30
B
5,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,23
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.