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Eliteserien

Referee: Christian Moen

Sarpsborg 08

S S T U S

4–0

Full-time

Ham-Kam

T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Ham-Kam

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

4,0

2,3

Scored

3,0

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

40%

20%

Points per game

1,6

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

40%

60%

Both score Ø 50%

60%

40%

Average goals

2,6

3,0

Scored

1,6

0,8

Conceded

1,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-1,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,93 xG 0,29

51% Possession 49%

17 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 3

11 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 8. · Ham-Kam 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	7	5	1	1	+4	+6.1	16
2	Rosenborg	7	4	3	0	+7	+5.9	15
3	Viking	7	4	2	1	+9	+8.7	14
4	Bodo/Glimt	4	3	1	0	+7	+5.5	10
5	Fredrikstad	5	3	1	1	+6	-3.0	10
6	Kristiansund	7	3	1	3	-2	-0.7	10
7	Sandefjord	5	3	0	2	+2	+0.3	9
8	Sarpsborg 08	5	2	2	1	+3	+2.1	8
9	Valerenga	6	2	1	3	-2	-0.8	7
10	Stromsgodset	6	2	0	4	+2	-2.7	6
11	Molde	5	1	2	2	-4	+0.5	5
12	Tromso	5	1	1	3	-3	+0.4	4
13	KFUM Oslo	5	1	1	3	-5	-3.0	4
14	Ham-Kam	5	1	1	3	-7	-4.3	4
15	Bryne	5	1	0	4	-4	-0.2	3
16	Haugesund	6	0	1	5	-13	-14.8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	5	3	2	0	+8	+5.8	11
2	Brann	4	3	1	0	+4	+3.3	10
3	Fredrikstad	3	3	0	0	+7	-1.2	9
4	Rosenborg	4	2	2	0	+4	+5.3	8
5	Bodo/Glimt	2	2	0	0	+6	+3.9	6
6	Sandefjord	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.3	6
7	Molde	3	1	1	1	-1	+1.1	4
8	Ham-Kam	3	1	1	1	-2	-1.7	4
9	Bryne	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.0	3
10	KFUM Oslo	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.9	3
11	Tromso	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.1	3
12	Kristiansund	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.3	3
13	Valerenga	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.0	3
14	Sarpsborg 08	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.0	1
15	Haugesund	2	0	1	1	-5	-2.8	1
16	Stromsgodset	3	0	0	3	-3	-3.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sarpsborg 08	3	2	1	0	+4	+2.1	7
2	Rosenborg	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.6	7
3	Kristiansund	5	2	1	2	-1	-2.0	7
4	Stromsgodset	3	2	0	1	+5	+0.6	6
5	Brann	3	2	0	1	+0	+2.8	6
6	Bodo/Glimt	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.6	4
7	Valerenga	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.2	4
8	Viking	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.8	3
9	Sandefjord	3	1	0	2	-3	+0.1	3
10	Fredrikstad	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.8	1
11	Tromso	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.8	1
12	Molde	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.5	1
13	KFUM Oslo	3	0	1	2	-5	-2.1	1
14	Bryne	3	0	0	3	-5	-2.2	0
15	Ham-Kam	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.6	0
16	Haugesund	4	0	0	4	-8	-11.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.