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Eliteserien
Referee: C Moen
Valerenga
S S S S U
1–0
Full-time
Tromso
S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Tromso
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,2
Scored
3,0
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 18/17 matches
Win Ø 34%
44%
24%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
56%
53%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
76%
Average goals
3,2
3,1
Scored
1,7
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
11 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valerenga 6. · Tromso 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 18 13 3 2 +21 42
2 Bodo/Glimt 19 11 5 3 +28 38
3 Lillestrom 18 11 4 3 +16 37
4 Rosenborg 18 9 7 2 +14 34
5 Viking 18 8 5 5 +7 29
6 Valerenga 18 8 3 7 +3 27
7 Stromsgodset 17 7 4 6 -2 25
8 Odd 19 7 2 10 -13 23
9 Haugesund 18 6 4 8 -1 22
10 Tromso 17 4 9 4 -6 21
11 Sandefjord 18 6 3 9 -8 21
12 Aalesund 18 5 6 7 -8 21
13 Ham-Kam 19 3 11 5 -1 20
14 Sarpsborg 08 19 6 1 12 -4 19
15 Jerv 18 4 2 12 -24 14
16 Kristiansund 18 1 3 14 -22 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Tromso
Amor Layouni 🟨
35′
35′
🟨 Niklas Vesterlund
T. Christensen 🔁
↦ A. Layouni
37′
Half-time 0–0
H. Udahl 🔁
↦ T. Børven
46′
51′
🟨 Kent-Are Antonsen
59′
🟨 Jostein Gundersen
62′
🔁 A. Jenssen
↦ K. Antonsen
62′
🔁 L. Nordås
↦ J. Tuominen
J. Eng 🔁
↦ P. Strand
69′
72′
🔁 F. Winther
↦ A. Mikkelsen
1–0 S. Strandberg
V. Hedenstad
81′
F. Jensen 🔁
↦ H. Bjørdal
82′
83′
🔁 W. Kamanzi
↦ L. Nilsen
83′
🔁 C. Øyvann
↦ C. Psyché
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Valerenga

4-3-3
21 M. Sjøeng G
4 J. Nation D
44 S. Strandberg D
6 V. Hedenstad D
5 L. Zuta D
8 H. Bjørdal M
24 P. Strand M
15 O. Holm M
9 T. Børven F
11 A. Layouni F
10 O. Sahraoui F
Bench (9)
17 T. Christensen
14 H. Udahl
27 J. Eng
7 F. Jensen
16 M. Emilsen
20 M. Riisnæs
23 Brynjar Bjarnason
19 S. Jatta
1 P. Bråtveit

Coach: D. Fagermo

Tromso

3-5-2
1 J. Haugaard G
28 C. Psyché D
4 J. Gundersen D
19 N. Vesterlund M
11 R. Jenssen M
8 K. Antonsen D
25 L. Nilsen M
17 E. Kitolano M
22 S. Opsahl M
15 J. Tuominen F
10 A. Mikkelsen F
Bench (7)
5 A. Jenssen
9 L. Nordås
7 F. Winther
14 W. Kamanzi
20 C. Øyvann
12 S. Thomas
23 R. Norheim

Coach: G. Helstrup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Moen · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.