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Eliteserien
Referee: M Lien
Tromso
U S U T S
1–0
Full-time
Stromsgodset
U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Stromsgodset
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
This season — Eliteserien · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 34%
26%
42%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
53%
68%
Both score Ø 58%
74%
42%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
12 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 8. · Stromsgodset 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 20 15 3 2 +25 48
2 Bodo/Glimt 20 12 5 3 +30 41
3 Lillestrom 20 12 5 3 +19 41
4 Rosenborg 20 10 7 3 +14 37
5 Valerenga 20 10 3 7 +5 33
6 Viking 19 8 5 6 +6 29
7 Stromsgodset 19 8 5 6 +4 29
8 Tromso 19 5 9 5 -6 24
9 Odd 20 7 3 10 -13 24
10 Ham-Kam 20 4 11 5 +0 23
11 Haugesund 20 6 4 10 -3 22
12 Aalesund 20 5 7 8 -9 22
13 Sandefjord 20 6 4 10 -11 22
14 Sarpsborg 08 20 6 1 13 -7 19
15 Jerv 20 4 2 14 -32 14
16 Kristiansund 19 1 4 14 -22 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Stromsgodset
1–0 R. Norheim
N. Vesterlund
7′
Half-time 1–0
L. Nilsen 🔁
↦ W. Kamanzi
63′
65′
🔁 E. Boahene
↦ I. Jack
65′
🔁 F. Holst-Larsen
↦ K. Tokstad
71′
🟨 Fabian Holst-Larsen
T. Hafstad 🔁
↦ R. Norheim
71′
J. Tuominen 🔁
↦ L. Nordås
71′
72′
🟨 Ernest Boahene
80′
🔁 A. Thorsen
↦ T. Gulliksen
80′
🔁 J. Braut Brunes
↦ F. Friday
Anders Jenssen 🟨
81′
82′
🔁 S. Hanssen
↦ N. Gunnarsson
I. Vik 🔁
↦ F. Winther
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Tromso

3-5-2
1 J. Haugaard G
28 C. Psyché D
4 J. Gundersen D
5 A. Jenssen D
19 N. Vesterlund M
14 W. Kamanzi M
22 S. Opsahl M
7 F. Winther M
23 R. Norheim M
10 A. Mikkelsen F
9 L. Nordås F
Bench (9)
25 L. Nilsen
21 T. Hafstad
15 J. Tuominen
26 I. Vik
18 E. Aarflot
32 M. Tollefsen
3 J. Robertsen
12 S. Thomas
24 D. Bassi

Coach: G. Helstrup

Stromsgodset

4-2-3-1
1 V. Myhra G
71 G. Valsvik D
4 T. Grøgaard D
5 N. Gunnarsson D
11 K. Tokstad M
10 H. Stengel M
7 H. Stenevik D
8 J. Hove M
6 I. Jack M
17 T. Gulliksen M
9 F. Friday F
Bench (8)
18 E. Boahene
30 F. Holst-Larsen
66 A. Thorsen
19 J. Braut Brunes
3 S. Hanssen
20 E. Danso
40 M. Sætra
82 E. Blikstad

Coach: B. Ingebretsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Lien · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.