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Eliteserien

Referee: C Moen

Valerenga

U S T U T

3–0

Full-time

Stromsgodset

S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Stromsgodset

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,0

This season — Eliteserien · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 35%

30%

40%

Points per game

1,4

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

50%

60%

Both score Ø 68%

80%

55%

Average goals

3,0

2,9

Scored

1,6

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

61% Possession 39%

21 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

3 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Valerenga 9. · Stromsgodset 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	20	12	5	3	+22	41
2	Molde	20	11	5	4	+23	38
3	Rosenborg	20	11	4	5	+17	37
4	Kristiansund	20	11	2	7	+3	35
5	Viking	21	10	5	6	+1	35
6	Lillestrom	21	10	4	7	+5	34
7	Stromsgodset	20	8	5	7	+4	29
8	Haugesund	20	8	4	8	+0	28
9	Valerenga	20	6	9	5	+3	27
10	Odd	20	7	5	8	-7	26
11	Sandefjord	21	7	4	10	-10	25
12	Sarpsborg 08	21	6	5	10	-11	23
13	Tromso	20	4	7	9	-12	19
14	Brann	20	4	5	11	-14	17
15	Stabaek	20	4	5	11	-15	17
16	Mjondalen	20	2	8	10	-9	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	10	8	1	1	+22	25
2	Kristiansund	10	8	1	1	+12	25
3	Bodo/Glimt	11	7	3	1	+17	24
4	Stromsgodset	10	7	2	1	+17	23
5	Viking	11	7	2	2	+7	23
6	Rosenborg	10	7	1	2	+15	22
7	Haugesund	10	7	1	2	+8	22
8	Sarpsborg 08	11	4	4	3	+4	16
9	Lillestrom	10	5	1	4	+2	16
10	Valerenga	10	3	6	1	+6	15
11	Sandefjord	11	4	3	4	+0	15
12	Odd	9	4	2	3	+4	14
13	Brann	10	3	3	4	-2	12
14	Stabaek	10	2	3	5	-6	9
15	Mjondalen	10	1	4	5	-2	7
16	Tromso	9	0	4	5	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	11	5	3	3	+3	18
2	Bodo/Glimt	9	5	2	2	+5	17
3	Rosenborg	10	4	3	3	+2	15
4	Tromso	11	4	3	4	-4	15
5	Molde	10	3	4	3	+1	13
6	Valerenga	10	3	3	4	-3	12
7	Viking	10	3	3	4	-6	12
8	Odd	11	3	3	5	-11	12
9	Kristiansund	10	3	1	6	-9	10
10	Sandefjord	10	3	1	6	-10	10
11	Stabaek	10	2	2	6	-9	8
12	Mjondalen	10	1	4	5	-7	7
13	Sarpsborg 08	10	2	1	7	-15	7
14	Haugesund	10	1	3	6	-8	6
15	Stromsgodset	10	1	3	6	-13	6
16	Brann	10	1	2	7	-12	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.