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Eliteserien
Referee: Kai Erik Steen
Stromsgodset
U U U U T
0–2
Full-time
Valerenga
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,2
2,5
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,5
This season — Eliteserien · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 37%
23%
50%
Points per game
1,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
59%
64%
Both score Ø 66%
64%
68%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
13 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 13. · Valerenga 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 23 20 2 1 +49 62
2 Molde 23 15 1 7 +29 46
3 Rosenborg 23 13 6 4 +21 45
4 Valerenga 22 11 6 5 +9 39
5 Odd 22 12 3 7 +8 39
6 Kristiansund 23 9 9 5 +11 36
7 Viking 22 8 6 8 -1 30
8 Stabaek 23 7 9 7 -3 30
9 Sarpsborg 08 23 8 4 11 -3 28
10 Haugesund 23 8 4 11 -10 28
11 Sandefjord 23 8 3 12 -12 27
12 Brann 23 6 7 10 -10 25
13 Stromsgodset 22 5 9 8 -10 24
14 Start 23 4 7 12 -17 19
15 Mjondalen 23 5 2 16 -23 17
16 Aalesund 23 2 4 17 -38 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Valerenga
15′
H. Bjørdal 0–1
Mikkel Maigaard 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Aron Dønnum
Half-time 0–1
Niklas Gunnarsson 🟨
74′
K. Tokstad 🔁
↦ M. Maigaard
74′
A. Stenseth 🔁
↦ M. Mawa
74′
H. Stengel 🔁
↦ I. Jack
75′
76′
C. Borchgrevink 0–2
A. Dønnum
78′
🔁 M. Vilhjálmsson
↦ V. Kjartansson
78′
🔁 O. Holm
↦ H. Shala
92′
🔁 F. Myhre
↦ A. Dønnum
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

4-3-3
1 V. Myhra G
26 L. Vilsvik D
5 N. Gunnarsson D
14 N. Mickelson D
4 D. Tchamba D
20 M. Maigaard M
8 J. Hove M
23 V. Ingimundarson F
42 I. Jack M
88 L. Salvesen F
10 M. Mawa F
Bench (9)
11 K. Tokstad
51 A. Stenseth
7 H. Stengel
17 T. Gulliksen
19 H. Stenevik
80 A. Nyhagen
50 D. Skretteberg
2 A. Leifsson
58 S. Hammershaug

Coach: H. Pedersen

Valerenga

4-3-3
13 K. Klaesson G
4 J. Nation D
22 I. Näsberg D
25 S. Adekugbe D
2 C. Borchgrevink D
8 M. Lekven M
6 H. Shala M
7 H. Bjørdal M
9 A. Dønnum F
26 O. Sahraoui F
24 V. Kjartansson F
Bench (8)
10 M. Vilhjálmsson
15 O. Holm
23 F. Myhre
17 O. Camara
1 K. Haug
11 B. Finne
3 J. Bjørdal
20 B. Stokke

Coach: D. Fagermo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Kai Erik Steen · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.