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Eliteserien
Referee: S Sinnes
Stromsgodset
T S S U T
1–2
Full-time
Aalesund
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,2
This season — Eliteserien · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 33%
40%
25%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
65%
55%
Both score Ø 48%
40%
55%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

53% Possession 47%
11 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 7. · Aalesund 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 21 16 3 2 +28 51
2 Bodo/Glimt 21 12 5 4 +27 41
3 Lillestrom 20 12 5 3 +19 41
4 Rosenborg 20 10 7 3 +14 37
5 Valerenga 20 10 3 7 +5 33
6 Viking 20 8 5 7 +5 29
7 Stromsgodset 20 8 5 7 +3 29
8 Tromso 20 6 9 5 -5 27
9 Odd 20 7 3 10 -13 24
10 Ham-Kam 20 4 11 5 +0 23
11 Haugesund 20 6 4 10 -3 22
12 Aalesund 20 5 7 8 -9 22
13 Sandefjord 20 6 4 10 -11 22
14 Sarpsborg 08 20 6 1 13 -7 19
15 Jerv 20 4 2 14 -32 14
16 Kristiansund 20 2 4 14 -21 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Aalesund
26′
E. Moses 0–1
S. Nordli
Herman Stengel 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–1
Halldor Stenevik 🟨
46′
48′
E. Moses 0–2
K. Tokstad 🔁
↦ I. Jack
58′
J. Braut Brunes 🔁
↦ F. Friday
59′
61′
🟨 Dario Čanađija
1–2 G. Valsvik
H. Stengel
61′
Lars Christopher Vilsvik 🟨
68′
75′
🔁 F. Haugen
↦ K. Barmen
75′
🔁 T. Kallevåg
↦ S. Nordli
75′
🔁 K. Ødemarksbakken
↦ E. Moses
81′
🟨 Torbjorn Kallevag
S. Hanssen 🔁
↦ N. Gunnarsson
84′
E. Boahene 🔁
↦ T. Gulliksen
84′
92′
🔁 D. Fällman
↦ D. Čanađija
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

4-2-3-1
1 V. Myhra G
71 G. Valsvik D
26 L. Vilsvik D
4 T. Grøgaard D
5 N. Gunnarsson D
10 H. Stengel M
7 H. Stenevik M
8 J. Hove M
6 I. Jack M
17 T. Gulliksen M
9 F. Friday F
Bench (7)
11 K. Tokstad
19 J. Braut Brunes
3 S. Hanssen
18 E. Boahene
20 E. Danso
30 F. Holst-Larsen
40 M. Sætra

Coach: B. Ingebretsen

Aalesund

4-3-3
1 S. Grytebust G
30 A. Andersen D
33 S. Rafn D
2 P. Golubović D
25 B. Šerbečić D
10 K. Barmen M
27 D. Čanađija F
11 S. Nordli M
7 Nenass M
23 G. Koomson F
21 E. Moses F
Bench (9)
8 F. Haugen
14 T. Kallevåg
15 K. Ødemarksbakken
5 D. Fällman
18 N. Hopland
13 M. Lansing
3 J. Moe
16 John Kitolano
29 B. Kristensen

Coach: L. Nilsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Sinnes · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.