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Pro League
Referee: Eric Lambrechts
Mechelen
T U T U T
0–1
Full-time
Anderlecht
S S T S U
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
3,5
1,8
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
2,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
0%
40%
Points per game
0,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 30%
40%
20%
Average goals
3,6
1,6
Scored
1,0
0,6
Conceded
2,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,6
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

34% Possession 66%
15 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 21
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 16. · Anderlecht 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Gent 5 5 0 0 +8 +2.2 15
2 Club Brugge 6 5 0 1 +8 +4.7 15
3 Charleroi 6 5 0 1 +7 +4.5 15
4 St. Gilloise 5 4 1 0 +11 +1.2 13
5 Waregem 5 3 2 0 +7 +1.9 11
6 Standard 5 3 2 0 +4 -0.4 11
7 St Truiden 6 2 3 1 +4 +1.0 9
8 Genk 5 2 2 1 +4 +5.3 8
9 Lommel SK 5 2 1 2 +3 7
10 Lommel United 5 2 1 2 +3 -0.5 7
11 Antwerp 5 2 1 2 +0 -0.4 7
12 Anderlecht 5 2 1 2 -2 +2.7 7
13 Beveren 5 2 0 3 -5 -4.4 6
14 Westerlo 6 1 1 4 -9 -4.9 4
15 Cercle Brugge 6 0 2 4 -6 -0.2 2
16 Mechelen 5 0 2 3 -8 -1.0 2
17 RAAL La Louviere 5 0 1 4 -8 -3.0 1
18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 5 0 0 5 -10 -5.3 0
19 Kortrijk 5 0 0 5 -11 -3.4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Anderlecht
5′
🟨 Giulian Biancone
37′
🔁 Andrew Omobamidele
↦ Giulian Biancone
40′
🟨 Andrew Omobamidele
43′
Tawfik Bentayeb 0–1
Ilias Koutsoupias
Half-time 0–1
60′
🟨 Ilias Koutsoupias
72′
🔁 Tristan Degreef
↦ Danylo Sikan
72′
🔁 Romeo Amane
↦ Ilias Koutsoupias
72′
🔁 Thelo Aasgaard
↦ Oliver Antman
Benito Raman 🔁
↦ Marco Decherf
74′
Bill Leeroy Antonio 🔁
↦ Simion Michez
75′
Fredrik Hammar 🟨
80′
Cedric Van Meirvenne 🔁
↦ Mike Eerdhuijzen
81′
Malcolm Bendele Lohunanu-Mbasi 🔁
↦ Bouke Boersma
82′
82′
🟨 Leo Petrot
Bilal Bafdili 🔁
↦ Dennis Praet
88′
Frederik Vanderbiest 🟨
93′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Mechelen

3-4-1-2
13 Nacho Mirás G
44 M. Eerdhuijzen D
2 L. Marijnissen D
3 José Marsà D
30 Marco Decherf M
6 F. Hammar M
26 D. Praet M
7 T. Koudou M
23 S. Michez M
28 Bouke Boersma F
9 M. van Brederode F
Bench (10)
20 K. Corbanie
11 B. Bafdili
38 B. Antonio
1 O. De Wolf
39 M. Decoene
10 M. Kireev
19 M. Lohunanu-Mbasi
14 B. Raman
17 C. Van Meirvenne
21 H. Özdemir

Coach: Frédéric Vanderbiest

Anderlecht

4-4-2
26 C. Coosemans G
79 A. Maamar D
4 G. Biancone D
27 L. Pétrot D
6 L. Augustinsson D
10 M. Winkler M
30 I. Koutsoupias M
55 M. Kana M
11 O. Antman M
21 T. Bentayeb F
14 D. Sikan F
Bench (9)
19 T. Aasgaard
8 R. Amané
9 M. Cvetković
83 T. Degreef
53 N. Cobiella
12 A. Omobamidele
61 J. Bethume
24 E. Llansana
32 J. Heekeren

Coach: Vítor Bruno

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,87
U
3,66
B ✓
1,81
Over/under goals
O1,5
1,18
U1,5 ✓
4,33
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,09
O3,5
2,60
U3,5 ✓
1,44
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,58
BLS nei ✓
2,20

Referee

Eric Lambrechts · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.