Pro League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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St. Gilloise
Waregem
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
St. Gilloise
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | +1.0 | 3 |
| 2 |
Club Brugge
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | +2.5 | 3 |
| 3 |
Charleroi
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | +1.8 | 3 |
| 4 |
Gent
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | +0.8 | 3 |
| 5 |
Waregem
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | -0.0 | 3 |
| 6 |
Anderlecht
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +2.3 | 3 |
| 7 |
Antwerp
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +1.2 | 3 |
| 8 |
St Truiden
|
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +0 | -1.6 | 3 |
| 9 |
Cercle Brugge
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | +1.0 | 2 |
| 10 |
Standard
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | +1.1 | 1 |
| 11 | Lommel SK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | – | 1 |
| 12 |
Lommel United
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | -0.5 | 1 |
| 13 |
Genk
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | +0.0 | 0 |
| 14 |
RAAL La Louviere
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -2.3 | 0 |
| 15 |
Beveren
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -1.2 | 0 |
| 16 |
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | -1.8 | 0 |
| 17 |
Mechelen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | -0.8 | 0 |
| 18 |
Kortrijk
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | -2.5 | 0 |
| 19 |
Westerlo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | -1.0 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Bodo/Glimt
St. Gilloise
Westerlo
St. Gilloise
St. Gilloise
Bodo/Glimt
St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
Gent
St. Gilloise
Lothar D'hondt · 47 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.