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Ligue 1

Referee: Jeremie Pignard

Nice

T U S U T

1–1

Full-time

Le Mans

U U S U T

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Le Mans

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,5

4,5

Scored

0,0

2,0

Conceded

1,5

2,5

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%

8 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 2

3 Offside 1

4 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nice 17. · Le Mans 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.1	9
2	Lyon	3	2	1	0	+4	-1.0	7
3	Lille	3	2	1	0	+3	-0.9	7
4	Paris FC	2	1	1	0	+3	+3.0	4
5	Rennes	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.2	4
6	Troyes	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.4	4
7	Lorient	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.7	4
8	Marseille	2	1	0	1	+2	+1.4	3
9	Lens	3	1	0	2	+1	+3.7	3
10	Angers	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.5	3
11	Strasbourg	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.8	3
12	Brest	2	0	2	0	+0	+3.9	2
13	Paris SG	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.5	2
14	Le Mans	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.1	1
15	Le Havre	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.8	1
16	Toulouse	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.2	1
17	Nice	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.8	1
18	Auxerre	3	0	0	3	-7	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.1	4
2	Rennes	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.2	4
3	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.7	3
4	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.6	3
5	Lens	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.6	3
6	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
7	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.1	3
8	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.9	1
9	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
10	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.1	1
11	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
12	Troyes	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.4	1
13	Paris SG	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
14	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
15	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
16	Auxerre	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.3	0
17	Angers	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0
18	Toulouse	2	0	0	2	-3	+2.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lille	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.8	6
2	Monaco	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.8	6
3	Lorient	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
4	Angers	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.3	3
5	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+2	-2.1	3
6	Troyes	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
7	Paris SG	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.5	2
8	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.9	1
9	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.1	1
10	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
11	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
12	Le Mans	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
13	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.1	0
14	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
15	Nice	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.6	0
16	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.7	0
17	Auxerre	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.