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Pro League

Referee: Nicolas Laforge

Charleroi

S S S S S

2–3

Full-time

St. Gilloise

S T U S S

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi St. Gilloise

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,8

Scored

2,0

2,7

Conceded

0,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 5/4 matches

Win Ø 88%

100%

75%

Points per game

3,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

40%

75%

Both score Ø 33%

40%

25%

Average goals

2,4

3,0

Scored

2,0

2,8

Conceded

0,4

0,3

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+2,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

60% Possession 40%

20 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 7

8 Blocked shots 7

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Charleroi 1. · St. Gilloise 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Charleroi	5	5	0	0	+8	+4.5	15
2	Club Brugge	6	5	0	1	+8	+4.7	15
3	Gent	4	4	0	0	+5	+2.2	12
4	St. Gilloise	4	3	1	0	+10	+1.2	10
5	Waregem	4	2	2	0	+5	+1.9	8
6	Standard	4	2	2	0	+3	-0.4	8
7	Genk	4	2	1	1	+4	+5.3	7
8	Lommel SK	5	2	1	2	+3	–	7
9	Lommel United	5	2	1	2	+3	-0.5	7
10	Antwerp	4	2	1	1	+1	-0.4	7
11	St Truiden	5	1	3	1	+0	+1.0	6
12	Anderlecht	4	2	0	2	-2	+2.7	6
13	Beveren	4	1	0	3	-8	-6.2	3
14	Cercle Brugge	5	0	2	3	-3	-0.2	2
15	Mechelen	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.0	2
16	RAAL La Louviere	4	0	1	3	-4	-3.0	1
17	Westerlo	5	0	1	4	-13	-4.9	1
18	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	0	0	4	-7	-3.5	0
19	Kortrijk	4	0	0	4	-9	-3.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gent	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.6	9
2	Genk	2	2	0	0	+5	+5.8	6
3	Waregem	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.8	6
4	Charleroi	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.1	6
5	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.2	6
6	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+2	+2.3	6
7	St. Gilloise	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.2	4
8	Standard	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.2	4
9	Antwerp	3	1	1	1	-2	-0.8	4
10	Lommel SK	3	1	0	2	+2	–	3
11	Lommel United	3	1	0	2	+2	-0.4	3
12	Beveren	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.6	3
13	St Truiden	3	0	2	1	-3	+0.5	2
14	Mechelen	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
15	RAAL La Louviere	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.6	1
16	Cercle Brugge	3	0	1	2	-2	+1.7	1
17	Westerlo	2	0	1	1	-4	-1.0	1
18	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.7	0
19	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-5	-0.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	4	3	0	1	+4	+1.5	9
2	Charleroi	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.4	9
3	St. Gilloise	2	2	0	0	+7	+1.0	6
4	St Truiden	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.5	4
5	Standard	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.6	4
6	Lommel SK	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
7	Lommel United	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.1	4
8	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.4	3
9	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
10	Waregem	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.1	2
11	Genk	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.5	1
12	Cercle Brugge	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.9	1
13	Mechelen	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.1	1
14	RAAL La Louviere	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.4	0
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.8	0
16	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.5	0
17	Anderlecht	2	0	0	2	-4	+0.4	0
18	Westerlo	3	0	0	3	-9	-3.9	0
19	Beveren	3	0	0	3	-9	-5.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.