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Ligue 2

Referee: R Buquet

Bastia

U T S U S

0–2

Full-time

Le Mans

S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Le Mans

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 32/33 matches

Win Ø 31%

16%

45%

Points per game

0,9

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 28%

19%

36%

Both score Ø 43%

34%

52%

Average goals

1,9

2,4

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,2

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%

8 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 3

1 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bastia 17. · Le Mans 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	33	20	7	6	+28	67
2	Le Mans	33	15	14	4	+17	59
3	St Etienne	33	17	6	10	+16	57
4	Rodez	33	14	13	6	+5	55
5	Red Star	32	15	9	8	+8	54
6	Reims	33	13	14	6	+16	53
7	Annecy	33	15	7	11	+11	52
8	Montpellier	33	14	8	11	+10	50
9	Pau FC	33	12	9	12	-12	45
10	Dunkerque	33	11	10	12	+9	43
11	Guingamp	33	10	10	13	-6	40
12	Grenoble	33	7	15	11	-7	36
13	Boulogne	33	9	9	15	-14	36
14	Clermont	33	8	10	15	-7	34
15	Nancy	33	8	10	15	-18	34
16	Laval	33	5	14	14	-19	29
17	Bastia	32	5	13	14	-14	28
18	Amiens	33	6	6	21	-23	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	17	14	1	2	+23	43
2	Le Mans	17	9	6	2	+12	33
3	St Etienne	16	10	2	4	+16	32
4	Rodez	17	8	7	2	+6	31
5	Reims	16	8	5	3	+10	29
6	Montpellier	17	8	4	5	+7	28
7	Annecy	16	7	6	3	+11	27
8	Red Star	16	7	6	3	+0	27
9	Guingamp	17	6	5	6	-3	23
10	Dunkerque	17	5	7	5	+5	22
11	Grenoble	16	4	10	2	-1	22
12	Pau FC	17	5	5	7	-6	20
13	Clermont	16	4	6	6	+0	18
14	Boulogne	17	4	3	10	-13	15
15	Nancy	16	4	3	9	-14	15
16	Bastia	15	3	5	7	-8	14
17	Laval	16	1	8	7	-9	11
18	Amiens	17	2	3	12	-15	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	16	8	3	5	+8	27
2	Le Mans	16	6	8	2	+5	26
3	Annecy	17	8	1	8	+0	25
4	St Etienne	17	7	4	6	+0	25
5	Pau FC	16	7	4	5	-6	25
6	Reims	17	5	9	3	+6	24
7	Troyes	16	6	6	4	+5	24
8	Rodez	16	6	6	4	-1	24
9	Montpellier	16	6	4	6	+3	22
10	Dunkerque	16	6	3	7	+4	21
11	Boulogne	16	5	6	5	-1	21
12	Nancy	17	4	7	6	-4	19
13	Laval	17	4	6	7	-10	18
14	Guingamp	16	4	5	7	-3	17
15	Clermont	17	4	4	9	-7	16
16	Amiens	16	4	3	9	-8	15
17	Grenoble	17	3	5	9	-6	14
18	Bastia	17	2	8	7	-6	14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.