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Süper Lig

Referee: Halil Umut Meler

Fenerbahce

T U S S S

1–2

Full-time

Besiktas

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Besiktas

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,8

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

2,3

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,59 xG 1,75

50% Possession 50%

9 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 7

2 Offside 4

18 Free kicks against 21

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fenerbahce 4. · Besiktas 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	4	3	1	0	+6	+7.3	10
2	Genclerbirligi	3	2	1	0	+2	-2.2	7
3	Besiktas	3	2	0	1	+4	+3.7	6
4	Fenerbahce	3	2	0	1	+3	+3.0	6
5	Amedspor	3	2	0	1	+2	+2.3	6
6	Kocaelispor	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.9	6
7	Rizespor	3	2	0	1	+0	+2.8	6
8	Kasimpasa	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.1	5
9	Buyuksehyr	4	1	1	2	+0	+0.2	4
10	Samsunspor	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.5	4
11	Trabzonspor	3	1	1	1	+0	-2.5	4
12	Alanyaspor	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.0	4
13	Gaziantep	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.3	4
14	Erzurumspor	4	1	1	2	-6	-4.1	4
15	Eyüpspor	3	1	0	2	-1	-1.0	3
16	Goztep	3	0	1	2	-2	-3.0	1
17	Corum	3	0	1	2	-5	-3.8	1
18	Konyaspor	4	0	0	4	-5	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Besiktas	2	2	0	0	+5	+3.5	6
2	Amedspor	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.0	6
3	Galatasaray	2	1	1	0	+1	+4.5	4
4	Buyuksehyr	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.5	4
5	Genclerbirligi	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.8	4
6	Fenerbahce	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.2	3
7	Kocaelispor	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
8	Trabzonspor	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
9	Alanyaspor	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
10	Eyüpspor	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.2	3
11	Erzurumspor	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.9	3
12	Kasimpasa	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.0	1
13	Gaziantep	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.3	1
14	Samsunspor	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.0	1
15	Goztep	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
16	Corum	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.8	0
17	Konyaspor	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.8	0
18	Rizespor	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.7	6
2	Rizespor	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.3	6
3	Kasimpasa	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.1	4
4	Samsunspor	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.5	3
5	Fenerbahce	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.8	3
6	Gaziantep	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
7	Genclerbirligi	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
8	Kocaelispor	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.6	3
9	Goztep	2	0	1	1	-1	-3.3	1
10	Alanyaspor	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.8	1
11	Trabzonspor	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.8	1
12	Erzurumspor	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.2	1
13	Corum	2	0	1	1	-4	-4.6	1
14	Buyuksehyr	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
15	Besiktas	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
16	Eyüpspor	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
17	Amedspor	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0
18	Konyaspor	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.