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FA Cup
1–2
Full-time
⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cleethorpes Town Newcastle Town
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aveley 1 1 0 0 +2 3
2 Quorn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
3 Bradford (Park Avenue) 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Ossett United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Kingstonian 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Hanwell Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Knowle 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Worcester City 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 North Ferriby 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Barton Town Old Boys 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Burgess Hill Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Jersey Bulls 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Shepshed Dynamo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Curzon Ashton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Pontefract Collieries 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Three Bridges 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Flackwell Heath 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Cheshunt 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,27
U
5,30
B ✓
7,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,06
U1,5
8,00
O2,5 ✓
1,31
U2,5
3,00
O3,5
1,86
U3,5 ✓
1,90
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,68
BLS nei
2,40

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.