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Ekstraklasa
Referee: M Szczerbowicz
Korona Kielce
U S U S S
1–1
Full-time
Wisla
S T U S T
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Korona Kielce Wisla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,7
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 45%
40%
50%
Points per game
1,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
20%
83%
Both score Ø 72%
60%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,14 xG 1,35
39% Possession 61%
9 Shots 21
5 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Korona Kielce 9. · Wisla 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 5 4 1 0 +6 +3.4 13
2 Legia 6 3 3 0 +8 +3.8 12
3 Gornik Zabrze 5 4 0 1 +4 +0.6 12
4 Wisla 6 3 1 2 +2 +4.3 10
5 Piast Gliwice 7 3 1 3 +0 -4.2 10
6 GKS Katowice 6 3 0 3 +3 -1.3 9
7 Jagiellonia 5 3 0 2 +2 +2.4 9
8 Pogon Szczecin 5 2 2 1 +3 -1.1 8
9 Korona Kielce 5 2 2 1 +2 -1.7 8
10 Zaglebie 5 2 2 1 +1 +0.6 8
11 Cracovia 6 2 2 2 -1 +3.2 8
12 Radomiak Radom 7 2 2 3 -7 -2.9 8
13 Widzew Lodz 7 1 4 2 +0 -0.2 7
14 Slask Wroclaw 6 1 3 2 -1 -0.6 6
15 Motor Lublin 6 1 2 3 -4 -0.3 5
16 Wisla Plock 5 1 1 3 -7 -0.9 4
17 Wieczysta Krakow 5 1 0 4 -4 -0.9 3
18 Rakow 5 0 0 5 -7 -4.3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Korona Kielce Wisla
4′
🟨 James Igbekeme
1–0 Ondrej Lingr
24′
45′
🔁 Angel·Rodado
↦ James Igbekeme
Half-time 1–0
49′
🟨 Julius Ertlthaler
Konrad Matuszewski 🔁
↦ Konrad Ciszek
58′
Michael Ameyaw 🔁
↦ Morgan Faßbender
58′
62′
🔁 Marc Carbo
↦ Julius Ertlthaler
63′
🔁 maciej kuziemka
↦ Thody Elie Youan
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Korona Kielce

4-3-3
1 X. Dziekoński G
71 W. Długosz D
23 S. Rubežić D
2 A. Mosór D
21 K. Ciszek D
35 Kamil Jakubczyk M
8 M. Remacle M
18 P. Hellebrand M
32 O. Lingr F
14 M. Stępiński F
22 M. Faßbender F
Bench (10)
37 Hubert Zwoźny
19 M. Ameyaw
99 Daniel Bak
67 N. Barczak
9 S. Davidović
87 R. Mamla
11 K. Matuszewski
10 Nono
24 B. Smolarczyk
44 K. Sotiriou

Coach: J. Zielinski

Wisla

4-5-1
1 M. Łubik G
34 R. Giger D
6 A. Uryga D
29 D. Grujčić D
52 J. Krzyżanowski D
27 É. Youan M
41 K. Duda M
7 J. Ertlthaler M
12 J. Igbekeme M
17 M. Božić M
11 Jordi Sánchez F
Bench (9)
9 Ángel Rodado
93 Bartosz Neugebauer
4 R. Mikulec
23 Víctor Meseguer
13 M. Maisonneuve
51 M. Kuziemka
50 M. Kutwa
8 Marc Carbó
97 W. Biedrzycki

Coach: M. Jop

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,24
U ✓
3,42
B
2,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,18
U1,5
4,20
O2,5
1,71
U2,5 ✓
2,08
O3,5
2,62
U3,5 ✓
1,40
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,56
BLS nei
2,25

Referee

M Szczerbowicz · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.