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FA Cup

Sherwood Colliery

U T S S T

2–4

Full-time

Gainsborough Trinity

S S U S T

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sherwood Colliery Gainsborough Trinity

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

4,3

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

2,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aveley	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Quorn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Bradford (Park Avenue)	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Ossett United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Kingstonian	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Hanwell Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Knowle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Worcester City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	North Ferriby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Barton Town Old Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Burgess Hill Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Jersey Bulls	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Shepshed Dynamo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Curzon Ashton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Pontefract Collieries	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Three Bridges	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Flackwell Heath	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Cheshunt	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aveley	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Quorn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Ossett United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Knowle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	North Ferriby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Burgess Hill Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Curzon Ashton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Three Bridges	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Flackwell Heath	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bradford (Park Avenue)	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Kingstonian	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Hanwell Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Worcester City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Barton Town Old Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Jersey Bulls	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Shepshed Dynamo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Pontefract Collieries	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Cheshunt	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.